FXUS64 KSHV 021706
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1106 AM CST WED DEC 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED TO REDUCE POPS ACROSS AR PORTIONS OF AREA. RAIN IS KICKING
OUT TO CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE. KEEP LOW POPS REMAINDER OF
AREA AS MOISTURE MAY WRAP BACK AROUND IN NW FLOW...INTO SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PARTS OF CWA. SNOW IN DALLAS AREA OCCURRING WITH SFC
TEMPS AT 35 DEGREES OR LESS. AS TEMPS ACROSS AREA SLOWLY
RISING...AT LEAST UNTIL STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION OCCURS IN NEXT
FEW HOURS...ALONG WITH DIMINISHING OVERALL PCPN...APPEARS AT THIS
TIME...THAT SNOW WILL NOT OCCUR TODAY IN CWA. ADJUSTED AFTN TEMPS
DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY NORTHERN CWA...AND UPWARD SLIGHTLY SOUTHERN
CWA...TO ACCOUNT FOR TIMING OF STRONGER CAA./VII/

&&

.AVIATION...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER 
ARKANSAS...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. CLOUDS 
AND PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY BE ON THE DECREASE THROUGH THE 
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IFR TO MVFR THROUGH 
THE AFTERNOON...WITH MOSTLY MVFR CIGS TONIGHT AND VFR CONDITIONS ON 
THURSDAY. VSBYS SHOULD BE VFR THROUGH 03/18Z. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF 
THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING 
GRADUALLY IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

03

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  32  49  33  43 /  30  10   0  10  20 
MLU  52  33  51  32  43 /  30  10   0  10  10 
DEQ  44  28  46  29  43 /  30  10   0  10  10 
TXK  47  30  48  32  43 /  30  10   0  10  10 
ELD  50  31  49  32  42 /  40  10   0  10  10 
TYR  44  31  49  34  41 /  20  10   0  10  20 
GGG  47  31  49  34  42 /  20  10   0  10  20 
LFK  49  34  53  35  39 /  20  10   0  10  40 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: ARZ070.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST THURSDAY FOR 
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ070>072.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: LAZ001-002-010-017.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST THURSDAY FOR 
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014.

OK...NONE.
TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST THURSDAY FOR 
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: 
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153.

&&

$$