FXUS64 KMEG 282055
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
255 PM CST SAT NOV 28 2009
.DISCUSSION...
SOME HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING THROUGH PARTS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI
WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA IS SUNNY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL KEEP THINGS DRY OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. EXPECT RAIN TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE
INTO WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY MORNING AND OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE ENOUGH RAIN TO PREVENT MEMPHIS AND JACKSON
FROM HAVING A RECORD DRIEST NOVEMBER. THE RAIN SHOULD BE OUT OF
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING
AND OUT OF THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BY MONDAY
EVENING BRINGING A RETURN TO DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO THEN DEVELOPS AS LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST AND TRACKS
NORTHEAST INTO ALABAMA. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THE RESULT OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS
WILL BE MORE RAIN FOR THE FORECAST AREA STARTING TUESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE REGION WHICH WILL BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF DRY AND COOL WEATHER FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
ARS
&&
AVIATION...
18Z TAFS
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 15-16Z SUNDAY...AT WHICH TIME CIGS
WILL BECOME MVFR AS SHOWERS START DEVELOPING. PRECIPITATION
WILL REMAIN SCATTERED SO WENT WITH VCSH LATE IN THE PERIOD. BRUNT
OF STEADY PRECIPITATION...WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CIGS EXPECTED TO
MOVE IN AFTER TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST AT 6-12KTS...DIMINISHING TO 4-8KTS AFTER SUNSET.
JAB
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM 49 64 46 53 / 10 50 90 30
MKL 45 61 43 50 / 10 40 90 20
JBR 46 60 42 50 / 10 50 90 10
TUP 43 64 50 55 / 10 30 80 70
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
$$
