FXUS62 KTBW 260004
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
704 PM EST WED NOV 25 2009

.DISCUSSION...HAVE CANCELLED THE FLOOD WATCH AS THE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AND SHIFTED
SE. HAVE A SECONDARY AREA OF SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE BAY AREA
FROM THE GULF...BUT RAIN FROM THESE SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY
WIDESPREAD FLOODING. WILL UPDATE THE ZONES SHORTLY AND ALSO
INCLUDE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
TEMPS LOOK ON TRACK STILL. 

&&

.AVIATION...LOW CEILINGS START OUT THE TAF PERIOD THIS EVENING
ALONG WITH CONTINUED RAIN AT MOST OF THE TERMINALS. BELIEVE THAT
ONCE THE HEAVIER RAIN MOVES OUT OF THE AREA...CEILINGS WILL GET
DOWN TO AROUND OR BELOW 500FT...AND STAY THAT WAY THROUGH EARLY
MORNING. AFTER SUNRISE...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE AND VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER MID-MORNING...BUT BKN CLOUDS CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...BUOYS REPORTING GENERALLY NE WINDS AT AROUND 10 KNOTS
NEAR THE COAST WITH AROUND 15 KNOTS OFFSHORE. FORECAST IS ON TRACK
AND EXPECT LITTLE CHANGES FOR THE EVENING UPDATE. 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...23/MCNATT