FXUS62 KTAE 150050
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
750 PM EST MON DEC 14 2009
.DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT
STRETCHED EAST TO WEST ACROSS OUR NORTHERN TIER GEORGIA ZONES AND
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF ALABAMA. LOCAL RADARS SHOW WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY. A FEW OF
THE STORMS HAVE BEEN STRONG TO SEVERE WITH ONE BRIEF TORNADO
CONFIRMED IN DALE COUNTY ALABAMA. ADDITIONALLY...VERY HEAVY RAINS
ARE FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS ACROSS SE ALABAMA AND OUR
NORTHERNMOST GEORGIA ZONES WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR COFFEE...DALE AND
NORTHERN HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CST AND CLAY...QUITMAN AND
RANDOLPH COUNTIES IN GEORGIA UNTIL 130 AM EST. AS A COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST PRESSES FURTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST
...THE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE TRAINING NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY...
MORE WARNINGS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
ASIDE FROM THE POTENTIAL FLOODING AND ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS...WE ALSO WILL SEE ANOTHER NIGHT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY INCLUDING
OUR COASTAL WATERS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR
THE LAND AREAS.
&&
.MARINE...LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH LOW SEAS CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THE DENSE FOG ACROSS
MUCH OF THE MARINE AREA WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AT LEAST NOON TUESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...CONDITIONS HAVE BEGUN TO DETERIORATE OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION WITH CIGS/VSBYS DROPPING QUICKLY. MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE
PROLONGED PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. WITH RICH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA...LOW CIGS
AND FG WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE
BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY WITH SUFFICIENT DAYTIME HEATING. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHRA
AND ISOLATED TSRA MAY BRIEFLY DROP VSBYS TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS.
ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...EXPECT VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS INTO
TUESDAY EVENING.
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...DOUGHERTY...
EARLY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...
RANDOLPH...TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
BARRY/AUSTIN/CAMP