FXUS64 KFWD 081359 AAB
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
759 AM CST TUE DEC 8 2009
.UPDATE...
A QUICK UPDATE HAS BEEN SENT TO ADD ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE EASTERN COUNTIES FOR TODAY.
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&&
.AVIATION...
IFR/LIFR CIGS CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH A MIXTURE OF
FOG...DRIZZLE...OR LIGHT RAIN. CIGS AND VSBY SHOULD SLOWLY IMPROVE
THROUGH THE MORNING...LEAVING MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. SKIES CLEAR AFTER 00Z AS SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE.
CROSS WIND CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS AREA AIRPORTS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.
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&&
.PREV UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
A QUICK UPDATE WAS SENT TO ADJUST THE INITIAL WIND DIRECTION TO
NORTHEAST OR EAST...WITH THE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
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&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 AM CST TUE DEC 8 2009/
TODAYS FORECAST IS QUITE A CHALLENGE. A COLD AIR AIR MASS IS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...HOWEVER AS A DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVES
INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...A WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT NORTH.
THE TIMING OF THE WARM FRONT WILL BE CRUCIAL FOR TODAY/S
TEMPERATURES...WEATHER AND THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 9 TO 13 DEGREE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GFS
AND NAM GUIDANCE ACROSS MUCH OF FORECAST AREA. HAVE GONE COLDER
THAN THE GFS FORECAST BUT NOT AS FAR AS THE NAM ACROSS MOST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THUS HAVE PLACED UPPER 40S IN THE
NORTHEAST...50S FOR MOST OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST
AREA...EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHWEST WHERE THE SUN SHOULD BREAK OUT
THIS AFTERNOON AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 60S.
WIDESPREAD FOG AND DRIZZLE...WITH PATCHY LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE MORNING HOURS...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING THIS
AFTERNOON. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING
WILL LIKEWISE BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AT SPEEDS
OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 25 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
WESTERN THIRD. IF THE MORE AGGRESSIVE GFS SOLUTION IS CORRECT
WINDS WILL BE STRONGER...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER
THAN OUR FORECAST.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT WITH
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A HARD
FREEZE FORECAST ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION TOMORROW NIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING. WE WILL SEE A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMALS
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WE WILL SEE ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
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&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 54 31 41 22 48 / 50 10 5 5 5
WACO, TX 59 34 49 25 51 / 40 10 5 5 5
PARIS, TX 50 29 41 19 47 / 90 10 5 5 5
DENTON, TX 53 29 43 18 46 / 50 5 5 5 5
MCKINNEY, TX 52 30 40 18 47 / 60 10 5 5 5
DALLAS, TX 54 31 42 23 48 / 50 10 5 5 5
TERRELL, TX 54 33 45 23 48 / 70 10 5 5 5
CORSICANA, TX 58 37 46 24 50 / 50 10 5 5 5
TEMPLE, TX 60 36 50 29 52 / 30 10 5 5 5
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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