FXUS62 KMLB 030101
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
801 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009
.UPDATE...
QUICK AFD UPDATE TO W/W/A SECTION TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH #792
IN EFFECT FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES NORTHWARD UNTIL 09 UTC
(4 AM EST).
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
..POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH SQUALL LINE TONIGHT...
..SIGNIFICANT RAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...
DISCUSSION...
THROUGH TONIGHT...A FEW SHRA/TSRA MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH SRN
SECTIONS PRESENTLY AHEAD OF MAIN SQUALL LINE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
REACH INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS NEAR SUNSET AND PUSH ACROSS EC FL
DURING THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. CELLS WILL BE FAST MOVING WITH POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE STRONG TO DAMAGING GUSTS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN
ISOLATED TORNADO. SPECIFIC THREATS ADDRESSED IN HWO/GHWO.
THURSDAY...FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS WITH DAYTIME POPS MUCH HIGHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
VERSUS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF EC FL. KEPT THUNDER MENTION IN ALONG
WITH THE LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH WHILE NORTHERN AREAS EXPECTED
TO HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHRA.
AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR CIGS PERSISTED INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME
REDUCTIONS FROM KTTS-LAKE OKEECHOBEE IN SHRA/TSRA THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON. INCREASING TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL COVERAGE OF THE MVFR/IFR
REDUCTIONS DUE TO SQUALL LINE TONIGHT WITH SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND ROTATING CELLS POSSIBLE.
MARINE...SCA FOR ALL WATERS DUE THE STRENGTHENING WINDS THROUGH
EARLY MORNING THURSDAY THEN EXTENDED SCA FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS
THROUGH LATE THURS MORNING. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND WATERSPOUTS
POSSIBLE AS SQUALL LINE PUSHES OVER WATERS TONIGHT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 64 73 58 64 / 90 20 30 80
MCO 65 76 61 69 / 90 30 40 80
MLB 69 78 64 72 / 80 60 50 80
VRB 73 79 65 73 / 80 60 50 70
LEE 63 74 56 63 / 90 20 30 80
SFB 64 76 59 67 / 90 30 30 80
ORL 65 76 60 68 / 90 30 40 80
FPR 72 79 65 74 / 80 60 50 70
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND
VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE.
AM...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY
LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO
JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR WATERS FROM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MOSES
AVIATION/SWC...CRISTALDI
METWATCH...WEITLICH/VANDYKE/PENDERGRAST
