FXUS64 KBRO 111554
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
954 AM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
.DISCUSSION...LOWERED DAYTIME HIGH TEMPS A FEW DEGREES FOR TODAY
BASED ON THICK CLOUD COVER AND LOWER CURRENT TEMPS. REISSUED
PRODUCTS WITH NO OTHER CHANGES.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 421 AM CST FRI DEC 11 2009/ ...LOW
CLDS WILL HOLD TOUGH AGAIN TDA AS OVERRUNNING SCENARIO REMAINS IN
PLACE. COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR SE ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO WATERS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SLIDE NWD WITH CENTER DUE EAST OF
US TNGT ACROSS THE NW GULF WATERS. CHC FOR SHOWERS AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE THRU THE DAY WITH SOME PATCHY FOG THRU THE MRNG IN A FEW
SPOTS...ALTHOUGH LEFT OUT FOG WORDING UNTIL TNGT. MOST OF THE
SUSTAINED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED JUST OFFSHORE EARLY THIS
MRNG. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MOVG NWD WITH THE MOST HEAVIEST PCPN
REMAINING NEAR THE COAST OR OFFSHORE THRU TDA. AS LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES NWD TNGT TO OUR NE...PCPN CHC WILL DECREASE WITH
LEFTOVER LOW CLDS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG CONTINUING OVRNGT.
HAVE LEFT 10 POPS IN FOR SAT MRNG FOR THE ANY LEFTOVER PCPN...BUT
TREND WILL BE TWD DRYING BY THEN. CLDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS REMAINING NEAR NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL THRU
SAT. READINGS WILL MODERATE ON SUN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
BREAKS IN THE CLDS AS THE NORTHERLY FLOW VEERS SOUTHEASTERLY BY
DAYS END. WARMER YET EARLY NEXT WEEK ON MON AHEAD OF S/W TROF
SLIDING THRU THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. NEXT WX MAKER FOR DEEP SOUTH
TX WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE PICTURE AT THIS TIME IN THE FORM OF A
COLD FRONT SLIDING SWD THRU THE STATE OF TX. FRONT PROGGED TO PUSH
THRU OUR CWA EARLY TUE BRINGING WITH IT INCREASED CHC FOR PCPN.
THE COOLER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN POST FRONT THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX.
&&
.MARINE...AT 8AM BUOY020 REPORTED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 19G21KTS AND
SEAS 8 FEET. COASTAL TROUGH JUST OFFSHORE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
BREEZY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL ZONES. WINDS WILL
REMAIN AROUND 20 KNOTS...WITH CONTINUED SEAS AROUND 8 FEET THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE DURING THE NIGHT AND ALLOW SEAS
TO DECREASE AS WELL. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE GULF WATERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NOON TODAY AND WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH
NOON TOMORROW UNTIL WINDS DECREASE. LIGHTER WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE
WEEKEND BEFORE SOUTHEAST FLOW INCREASES ON MONDAY. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL ARRIVE ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW GUSTING NEAR
GALE FORCE IN ITS WAKE.
&&
.AVIATION...LOW CIGS WILL DOMINATE TODAY...WITH THE LOWEST OCCURRING
NEAR THE COAST NEAREST TO THE COASTAL TROUGH. LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH MINOR VIS RESTRICTIONS AT TIMES.
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST AT THE SFC...TURNING TO THE
SOUTH BY 5KFT. CIGS WILL SLOWLY RISE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE TROUGH
MOVES EAST AWAY FROM THE COAST...AND SHOULD THIN CONSIDERABLY DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 59 54 64 54 / 50 30 10 10
BROWNSVILLE 58 53 64 55 / 40 30 10 10
HARLINGEN 56 52 62 54 / 50 30 10 10
MCALLEN 52 51 63 52 / 40 30 10 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 50 50 64 51 / 50 30 10 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 61 58 65 55 / 50 30 10 10
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
175.
&&
$$
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