FXUS63 KPAH 270932
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
331 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR SOUTH WILL PROVIDE CLEAR SKIES AND A 
GRADUAL RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS.  TEMPS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE 
NEAR SEASONAL...THEN BY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT TEMPS WILL BE 
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE 
WEST SATURDAY NIGHT.  NAM...GFS AND ECMWF ALL INDICATE LIGHT PRECIP 
SPREADING ACROSS THE QUAD STATE SUNDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF 
PRECIP LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.  GFS IS FASTEST OF THE 
THREE...WITH PRECIP OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z.  NAM AND ECMWF ARE A 
LITTLE SLOWER...LINGERING SOME PRECIP INTO MONDAY MORNING.  WENT 
WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS WEST TO LOW CHANCE POPS EAST SUNDAY...THEN 
LIKELY WEST TO CATEGORICAL EAST SUNDAY NIGHT.  SHRUNK POPS MONDAY 
MORNING TO SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE FOR OUR EASTERN COUNTIES...AND 
REMOVED POPS MONDAY AFTERNOON.  MODELS INDICATE NEXT SYSTEM WILL 
BEGIN TO AFFECT OUR REGION WEDNESDAY.

FOR NEAR TERM TEMPS...MAV AND MET ARE WITHIN A COUPLE OF 
DEGREES...AND STUCK PRETTY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE HIGHS...BUT LEANED 
TOWARD THE SLIGHTLY WARMER MET LOWS.  FOR EXTENDED TEMPS...WENT 
CLOSE TO LATEST MEX TEMPS...WHICH ONLY REQUIRED SOME MINOR TWEAKS.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGHOUT 
THE TAF PERIOD.  

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...RST
AVIATION...GM