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Kinzua, Oregon, United States
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 Lat: 45.00N, Lon: 120.21W
Wx Zone: ORZ504 ICAO Used: KDLS
Area Discussion for County Warning Area PDT:
FXUS66 KPDT 011714 AAA
AFDPDT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
915 AM PST TUE DEC 1 2009

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM IN A 
NORTHWEST FLOW IS CLIPPING THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THIS IS 
BRINGING A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE BLUE MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE 
UPSLOPE FLOW IS ENHANCING LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF 
THE BLUE MOUNTAINS AND BLUE MOUNTAINS RESULTING IS SOME LOCALLY 
DENSE FOG. THESE CONDITIONS LIKELY TO LAST THROUGH THE MORNING WITH 
SOME IMPROVEMENT MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE SOME GRADUAL 
CLEARING FROM THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON BUT MOST OF THE FORECAST 
AREA WILL REMAIN AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MORE 
CLEARING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG 
REDUCED BUT STILL PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE. COOLER TODAY WITH THE CLOUD 
COVER AND A COOL LIGHT NORTH WIND. 

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS...LOW CLOUDS AND FOG CONTINUE ALONG THE 
FOOTHILLS OF THE BLUE MOUNTAINS IMPACTING KPDT AND KALW. LIFR 
CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS MORNING AT THESE TWO TAF 
LOCATIONS. LOW CLOUDS AT KRDM WILL ALSO GRADUALLY LIFT BY THIS 
AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS IMPROVING TO VFR. ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS 
WITH CLEARING SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE 
LESS THAN 10 MPH ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PATCHY FOG 
WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KRDM...KPSC AND KDLS WEDNESDAY MORNING...THOUGH 
MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE AS WIDESPREAD AS 
DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION. DMH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 AM PST TUE DEC 1 2009/ 

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT HAS 
PUSHED SOUTH OF THE CWA. AREAS FOG AND/OR STRATUS REMAIN IN THE 
LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN. SOME CLOUDS REMAIN IN THE NORTHERLY UPSLOPE 
FLOW INTO THE BLUE MOUNTAINS. OTHER THAN A FEW SNOWTEL LOCATIONS NO 
STATIONS REPORTED ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT...ALTHOUGH RADAR 
MAY HAVE SOME SPRINKLES MIXED WITH THE GROUND CLUTTER. WILL MAKE A 
LAST MINUTE DECISION ON CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING BASED ON LATEST 
SATELLITE/OBS. WITH UPSLOPE CONTINUING TODAY AND LIMITED MID LEVEL 
MOISTURE DECIDED TO LEAVE ISOLATED SHOWERS IN BLUE AND WALLOWA 
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING EVEN THOUGH I EXPECT PRECIPITATION WILL BE 
SPRINKLES/FLURRIES AT MOST. BY THIS AFTERNOON THE DRIER NORTHERLY 
FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE MORE IMPORTANT THAN UPSLOPE LIFT...SO 
DO NOT EXPECT EVEN SPRINKLES/FLURRIES. 

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OFFSHORE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT WITH DRY NORTHERLY FLOW OVER EASTERN WASHINGTON AND OREGON. 
THIS WILL BRING COLDER AIR INTO THE AREA. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR 
SKIES PATCHY FOG WILL REDEVELOP UNDER STRONG SURFACE INVERSIONS IN 
THE LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN AGAIN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OUTSIDE 
OF FOG/STRATUS AREAS SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR BY TONIGHT EXCEPT 
FOR OCCASIONAL CIRRUS MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE.   COONFIELD

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE 
AREA DRY UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ON THURSDAY. A TROUGH IS THEN 
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA ON FRIDAY...BREAKING DOWN THE 
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND POSSIBLY SENDING ENOUGH ENERGY SOUTHWARD 
TO INDUCE A FEW MOUNTAIN SHOWERS. WITH THIS BREAK DOWN OF THE 
RIDGE...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL SEE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THAT 
WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...AS WELL AS COOLER AIR AND A CHANCE 
FOR UPSLOPE MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE NUMEROUS MODEL 
DIFFERENCES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...THERE IS A GENERAL CONSENSUS 
THAT LARGE SCALE TROUGHING OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL SWING 
AN UPPER LOW INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS 
FEATURE WILL INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND AT THE SAME TIME 
BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST. THEREFORE...ANY 
PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL MOST LIKELY 
BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW.  82

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT  38  26  40  20 /  10   0   0   0 
ALW  41  26  40  22 /  10   0   0   0 
PSC  43  23  38  23 /   0   0   0   0 
YKM  41  23  39  21 /   0   0   0   0 
HRI  41  21  37  20 /  10   0   0   0 
ELN  45  22  40  19 /   0   0   0   0 
RDM  39  13  42  18 /   0   0   0   0 
LGD  41  18  38  15 /  10   0   0   0 
GCD  39  21  41  23 /  10   0   0   0 
DLS  46  28  43  26 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
&&

THREAT INDEX
TODAY : GREEN
WEDNESDAY : GREEN
THURSDAY : GREEN

GREEN: NONE OR LIMITED NEED FOR WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES.
YELLOW: A FEW WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT.
RED: NUMEROUS WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT...
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON

$$

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