FXUS62 KTAE 160010
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
705 PM EST TUE DEC 15 2009
.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT AT 00Z WAS ROUGHLY ON A LINE FROM
AUGUSTA TO ALBANY TO PANAMA CITY. LOCAL RADARS SHOW POST FRONTAL
SHOWERS EXTENDING ACROSS OUR SE AL ZONES AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND WE WILL
ALLOW THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO EXPIRE ON TIME. ALL SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE
REGION ON NORTHERLY WINDS. WILL ADJUST POPS DOWN IN THE GRIDS AND
REISSUE THE ZONES.
&&
.MARINE...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA TONIGHT WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE WATERS...THEN ACROSS THE BIG BEND WATERS WEDNESDAY.
HIGHEST SEAS WILL REMAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH THE
OFFSHORE FLOW IN PLACE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION...A CLUSTER OF SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD
OVER THE TRI-STATE REGION. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE ACTIVITY WILL
HOLD TOGETHER THROUGH THE EVENING CREATING LOW CIGS AND SHOWERS FOR
MOST TAF LOCATIONS. DHN AND ABY WILL SEE THE RAIN COME TO AN END
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE PFN...TLH...AND VLD WILL SEE SHOWERS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING USHERING IN DRIER WEATHER. THIS SHOULD
ELIMINATE ANY LOW CIGS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO SHRA
AND CIG CONCERNS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT PASSES
ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM
APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM
APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
$$
CAMP/BARRY