FXUS64 KMRX 021548 AAA
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1048 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...MAIN WEATHER CONCERN IS STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS
AND MOUNTAIN WAVES PRODUCING PEAK GUSTS OF 70 MPH+ ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING. COVE AND ENGLISH MOUNTAINS ARE
REPORTING GUSTS OF 70 MPH. ALSO...CAMP CREEK...WHICH IS JUST OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN EASTERN GREENE COUNTY...IS REPORTING PEAK
GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. LOCAL WRF MODEL SHOWS THE DAMAGING MOUNTAIN WAVE
HIGH WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MAY HAVE TO EXTEND THE
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AREAS ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS-FOOTHILLS INTO THE EVENING.

STRONG UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL
BECOME AN OPEN WAVE AND MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST THE REST OF TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AN OCCLUDED FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DRY SLOT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON ENDING THE CHANCES OF
RAIN...SO HAVE LOWERED POPS FOR LATER TODAY. DUE TO DOWNSLOPE WINDS
INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE VALLEY...TEMPERATURES AT TRI AND VJI
HAVE WARMED TO FORECAST HIGHS. HAVE INCREASED MAX TEMPERATURES MOST
PLACES A CAT OR SO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             55  41  49  34  48 /  60  30  10  10  10 
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  56  42  47  32  46 /  70  50  10  10  10 
OAK RIDGE, TN                       52  41  48  33  44 /  60  60  10  10  10 
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              58  39  45  31  44 /  80  60  20  10  10 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: CHEROKEE...CLAY.

TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BLEDSOE...CAMPBELL...CLAIBORNE...EAST 
     POLK...MARION...MORGAN...SCOTT TN...SEQUATCHIE.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY 
     MOUNTAINS...JOHNSON...MCMINN...NORTHWEST CARTER...NORTHWEST 
     MONROE...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST CARTER...
     SOUTHEAST GREENE...SOUTHEAST MONROE...SULLIVAN...UNICOI...
     WASHINGTON TN.

VA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: LEE...RUSSELL...WISE.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE 
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WASHINGTON.

&&

$$

DH