FXUS64 KTSA 150948
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
LOOKS LIKE WE ARE IN FOR A COLD DAY TODAY,  WENT WITH THE
COLDER MET NUMBERS AS THEY WERE IN MORE AGREEMENT WITH WHAT
THE ECMWF WOULD INDICATE.  ALSO WENT BELOW THE MAV TONIGHT
AS SKIES WILL BE CLEAR AND WINDS LIGHT.  

WARMER WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SHOT OF COLD AIR PUSHES INTO THE
AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  COULD BE SOME PRECIPITATION
WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT BUT ONLY WENT WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS.  DID MENTION SNOW BUT IF IT DID SNOW IT WOULD NOT
AMOUNT TO MUCH.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE DRY. THE ECMWF SHOWS ANOTHER 
SURGE OF COLD AIR WHILE THE GFS IS WARMER.  AT THIS TIME
DID A COMPROMISE WITH THE TEMPERATURES IN THAT TIME RANGE
WHICH WOULD HINT THE THE ECMWF IS RIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   35  23  49  33 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   44  26  50  28 /   0   0   0   0 
MLC   41  23  51  32 /   0   0   0   0 
BVO   33  16  48  25 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   38  20  50  25 /   0   0   0   0 
BYV   35  20  47  28 /   0   0   0   0 
MKO   38  22  49  29 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   31  19  48  29 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   38  21  49  31 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   45  27  50  32 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....17

ABBAS