FXUS64 KTSA 100907
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
307 AM CST THU DEC 10 2009
.DISCUSSION...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A SLIVER OF MID CLOUDS ACROSS NE OK THIS
MORNING...ALL IS CLEAR WITH COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN
PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY MOVE TO
THE EAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF
WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. MOST GUIDANCE APPEARS TO WARM
FOR TODAY...SO WILL FOLLOW THE TREND OF UNDERCUTTING THE MAV
GUIDANCE BY SEVERAL DEGREES. BEYOND THAT...FOLLOWED MORE OF A
BLEND...PARTICULARLY LATER PERIODS. W-SW UPPER FLOW PATTERN FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...WITH ONLY A WEAK
DISTURBANCE OR TWO EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW. NOT CONVINCES RAIN
CHANCES WILL MATERIALIZE WITH THIS...BUT BEARS WATCHING FOR LATER IN
THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHES. FOR
NOW...WILL LEAVE FORECAST DRY. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS SUNDAY TO BE
THE WARMEST DAY AREAWIDE OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 50S EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. A FRONTAL PASSAGE
MONDAY WILL KNOCK TEMPS BACK SOME MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH. DEPENDING
ON THE TIMING....DECENT WARMING A POSSIBILITY AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS SRN ZONES. BEHIND THE FRONT..THERE DOESNT APPEAR THAT THERE
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER AIR. TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN MODERATE
NEXT WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 33 25 44 32 / 0 0 0 10
FSM 33 23 44 29 / 0 0 0 10
MLC 36 26 46 33 / 0 0 0 10
BVO 32 19 43 25 / 0 0 0 10
FYV 31 20 41 26 / 0 0 0 10
BYV 31 19 40 25 / 0 0 0 10
MKO 33 23 44 30 / 0 0 0 10
MIO 31 19 41 24 / 0 0 0 10
F10 34 24 45 33 / 0 0 0 10
HHW 39 28 47 34 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....23