FXUS63 KOAX 292045
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
245 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

AREA LOOKS TO REMAIN BETWEEN NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM FLOWS IN THE
SHORT TERM WITH NEXT COLD FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
ON TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME FRONT LOOKS DRY WITH MAIN CONCERN DEALING WITH
TEMPERATURES. WARMING FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF FRONT
THEN COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SPLIT FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO CONT THRU THE EXTENDED PERIOD WHICH 
WL LEAD TO GENERALLY DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS AS THE 
NORTHERN STREAM BECOMES A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE. GENERALLY PREFER A 
BLEND OF THE OPERATIONAL EC AND THE EC ENSEMBLES FOR THIS FORECAST 
AS THEY SEEM TO FIT THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN BETTER AND ARE LESS 
AMPLIFIED LATE IN THE PERIOD. 

SFC CDFNT ASSOCIATED WITH CLOSED NRN STREAM SYSTEM MOVG THRU SRN 
CANADA WL HAVE CLEARED THE CWA BY 12Z ON WED MRNG. THIS SHLD LEAD TO 
CAA AND CLDS FOR THE DAY ON WED. LITTLE PRECIP CONTS TO BE EXPECTED 
WITH THE FNT AS SIG MOISTURE IS LOCKED UP S WITH THE STG SRN STREAM 
SYSTEM MOVG ALNG THE GULF COAST. CANADIAN 1030 MB SFC HIGH THEN 
SETTLES INTO THE AREA FOR WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI MORNING LEADING TO 
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 20S OR SLIGHTLY COOLER AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40. 
OPERATIONAL MEX AND HPC NUMBERS ARE A BIT COOLER THAN CURRENT 
FORECAST BUT WITH A LACK OF SNOW COVER FM HERE TO CANADA...NORMAL 
HIGHS ARE MORE LIKE IN THE LOWER 40S /INSTEAD OF UPPER 30S/ AND THUS 
DID NOT WANT TO GO AS COOL AS HPC/MEX ATTM. WAA RETURNS FOR NEXT FRI 
INTO SAT AS ANOTHER SHRTWV TRIES TO TOP WRN US RIDGE AND ALLOWS FOR 
LO PRES TO DEVELOP OVER THE WRN HI PLAINS. AGAIN...THRU SAT LOOKS 
DRY WITH TMPS AROUND NORMAL. 

&&

.AVIATION...
TAF SITES KOFK/KOMA/KLNK 

29/18Z TAFS

MORNING MVFR STRATUS DECK HAS SLID AWAY TO THE S...WITH SECOND 
STRATUS AREA SINKING SWD OUT OF SD/MN INTO IA AS A WAVE DROPS OUT OF 
THE DAKOTAS.  CIGS AT KOMA MAY FLIRT WITH MVFR AS BACK EDGE OF 
STRATUS LINGERS VERY NEAR THE MO RIVER...AND HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO 
GROUP FOR POTENTIAL.  OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS/VIS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL 
SITES.  NWLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTN...BACKING TO SWLY 
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING AGAIN IN THE LATE MRNG HOURS.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOBERT/BOUSTEAD/MAYES