FXUS64 KSJT 272314
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
514 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
.DISCUSSION...
SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BKN CIGS AT
AROUND 15KFT WILL GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT AND BECOME SKC BY 12Z.
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AT KABI AFT 15Z AND MAY GUST TO AROUND
20KT THRU 22Z.
LACY
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009/
SHORT TERM...
VEIL OF HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...AS A DECENT SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO INTO
WEST TEXAS. HAVE SEEN A FEW MID LEVEL RETURNS ON RADAR...BUT WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S...LOW LEVEL TOO DRY TO ALLOW ANYTHING TO REACH
THE GROUND.
OTHERWISE...AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN SYSTEMS FOR SATURDAY. FEWER
CLOUDS...SO GUIDANCE NUMBERS SHOWING WARMER CONDITIONS LOOK
REASONABLE. NEXT SYSTEM IS DROPPING DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LONG TERM...
ECMWF AND GFS MODELS ARE BRINGING A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE
FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY PRECEDED BY A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
AFTERNOON ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LOOKING FOR A COLD RAIN MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE
40S. WILL SEE TUESDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK... HOWEVER ...AT THIS TIME WILL NOT MENTION ANY FROZEN PRECIP
MONDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE AREA
FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS. SHOULD SEE ONLY A COLD RAIN BUT A MIX OF
SNOW EARLY TUESDAY IS POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS PRIMARILY OVER
THE WESTERN CWA.
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD WARM INTO
THE 50S BY MIDWEEK BUT MORNING LOWS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 30S
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 47 75 49 56 35 / 10 10 10 40 30
SAN ANGELO 42 76 51 62 37 / 10 10 10 30 50
JUNCTION 40 68 51 61 44 / 10 10 10 30 70
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
