FXUS63 KPAH 251755
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1154 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009

.UPDATE...
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION FOR 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. ALSO UPDATED 
DISCUSSION SECTION FOR MIDDAY UPDATE TO GRIDS. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED THE GRIDS TO CATCH UP TO THE BRILLIANT SUNSHINE AND SLIGHTLY 
WARMER TEMPERATURES. GENERALLY RAISED HIGH TEMPERATURES A CATEGORY. 
LOADED THE NAM WINDS AND DEWPOINTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH SEEM 
TO BE IN PRETTY GOOD ALIGNMENT WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS. 

NOT REAL CONFIDENT IN TIMING CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPOKES OF ENERGY ROTATING ABOUT THE H5 VORTEX 
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. BACKED OFF ON THE SOUTHWEST EXTENT 
OF CLOUDS AND LIGHT POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. 
VERY LIGHT RAIN CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT...SO KEPT THE MENTION 
IN THE FAR NORTH AND NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
WILL SEE A COUPLE OF SWATHS OF LOW VFR/MVFR CEILINGS ROTATE EASTWARD 
THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FIRST WILL BE CENTERED 
ABOUT 00Z...AND SHOULD GENERALLY STAY VFR. NOT CONFIDENT ON THE 
SOUTH/SOUTHWESTWARD EXTENT OF THE CLOUD BAND...BUT IT SHOULD BE OF 
LITTLE CONCERN TO AVIATION. 

THE SECOND WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON 
HOURS. THIS WILL BE THE STRONGER IMPULSE AND COULD RESULT IN MVFR 
CEILINGS...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN COULD ALSO 
RESULT IN THE NORTH INCLUDING THE KEVV TAF. 

SHOULD SEE SOME NICE MIXING BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY 
MID-MORNING ON. GUSTS MAY APPROACH 20KTS THURSDAY...BUT THEY SHOULD 
BE LOWER AND LESS PREVALENT THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

DRS