FXUS62 KFFC 270259 AAB
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
959 PM EST THU NOV 26 2009
.UPDATE...
GRADIENT STARTING TO SLACKEN LOCALLY BETWEEN 1006 MB LOW NEAR THE
OUTER BANKS OF NC AND A 1027 MB HIGH OVER EAST TX. WIND GUSTS
BRIEFLY REACHING THE TEENS AT A FEW SITES THIS EVENING WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW 10 KTS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. EXTENSIVE CAA STRATUS WILL
LINGER OVER THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE NIGHT...THOUGH
EVERYWHERE ELSE WILL SEE CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. NO UPDATES PLANNED.
07
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST MODEL RUN CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK REINFORCING COLD FRONT
PUSHING EAST OF THE CWA THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO
PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WINDS PICKING UP
THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...AND SEEING SOME GUST
APPROACH 30 KTS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA. EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN JUST
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD TEND TO DROP
OFF A BIT AFTER SUNSET. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT AND REMAIN DOMINANT OVER
OUR AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MAINLY A TEMPERATURE FORECAST AND
WITH MAV/MET MOS SIMILAR THROUGH THE PERIOD...SEE LITTLE REASON TO
DIFFER.
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
EXTENDED PROGS CONTINUE TO SHOW SPLIT UPPER TROF FEATURE TO DEAL
WITH DURING THE PERIOD. NORTHERN TROF TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES...PULLING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA
MON/TUE...AS THE SOUTHERN LOW/TROF SPINS OUT OVER TX. LATEST GFS
TRACKS THE SRN STREAM FEATURE NORTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MS VLY
REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY THURSDAY.
ECMWF SHOW A SIMILAR TRACK...BUT APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE WEAKER.
NONETHELESS...CURRENT FORECAST WHICH INTRODUCES PRECIP BACK INTO
THE FORECAST BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH PRECIP CHCS ON THE
INCREASE MON INTO WED STILL LOOK IN LINE. HEAVY RAIN THREAT
SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE CWA...LOOKING LIKE MORE OF A POSSIBILITY.
WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS BRING.
49
&&
.AVIATION...UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD CONCERNS TONIGHT. FEW-SCT CU 4000-6000 ACROSS N
TAF SITES TENDING TO DIMINISH WITH NO VSBY CONCERNS. SURFACE WINDS
DIMINISHING WITH SUNSET BUT CONTINUING WNW GENERALLY 5-10 KTS...
AROUND 12 KTS FOR ATL WITH SOME GUSTS. BDL
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 35 56 35 64 38 / 0 5 0 0 5
ATLANTA 34 55 38 63 43 / 0 0 0 0 5
BLAIRSVILLE 31 50 28 60 33 / 5 5 0 0 5
CARTERSVILLE 32 54 29 62 37 / 0 5 0 0 5
COLUMBUS 36 59 37 67 42 / 0 0 0 0 5
GAINESVILLE 34 54 36 63 42 / 0 5 0 0 5
MACON 34 60 34 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 5
ROME 32 56 29 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 5
PEACHTREE CITY 32 56 30 64 33 / 0 0 0 0 5
VIDALIA 35 59 33 64 37 / 5 0 0 0 5
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
