FXUS62 KMLB 111528
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1025 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOWING EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS OVER THE FL 
PENINSULA AND THE ERN GOMEX.  MORNING SOUNDINGS REFLECTING THIS WELL 
WITH A SATURATED H90-H65 LYR.  WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE ERN 
GOMEX IS GENERATING SOME LIGHT RAIN OVER THE BIG BEND AREA.  SOME OF 
THIS LIFT COULD WORK ITS WAY OVER THE PENINSULA TO GENERATE LIGHT 
RAIN OVER THE CWA...BUT IMPACTS WILL BE MINIMAL.

N/NE WINDS ARE CREATING A NOTEWORTHY TEMPERATURE SPREAD ACROSS THE 
CWA.  THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS HAVE WARMED INTO THE U60S/L70S 
WHILE AREAS ALONG AND N OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR ARE LANGUISHING IN THE 
M/U50S...WHICH IS DEPICTED WELL IN THE MORNING FCST. 

WILL UPDATE TO REFRESH THE WORDING...OTHERWISE NO NEED FOR ANY MAJOR 
CHANGES.

&&

.AVIATION...
THRU 12/00Z...PREVAILING CIGS BTWN FL035-050...OCNL MVFR CIGS BTWN 
FL020-030...LCL MVFR VSBYS IN -RA.  BTWN 12/00Z-12/12Z...IFR CIGS  
IFR BTWN FL006-008 ALONG AND N OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR...MVFR ALONG THE 
SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS BTWN FL015-025...BRIEF MVFR VSBYS IN SCT 
SHRAS.  AFT 12/12Z...CIGS LIFTING TO FL020-030 ALONG AND N OF THE 
I-4 CORRIDOR...AND TO FL040-050 ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS. 

&&

.MARINE...
DATA BUOYS INDICATING POOR BOATING CONDITIONS AREAWIDE WITH BOTH 
NEAR AND OFFSHORE BUOYS MEASURING DOMINANT WAVE PDS AOB 6SEC WITH 
WAVE HEIGHTS BTWN 4-6FT.  NO HOPE FOR IMPROVEMENT AS PREVAILING 
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE N BTWN 15-20KTS.  CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS 
LOOK GOOD...AS DOES THE TIMING OF THE SCA FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS.  
WILL ENHANCE THE TEXT TO EMPHASIZE THE POOR CONDITIONS...OTHERWISE 
NO CHANGES NECESSARY WITH THE MORNING UPDATE. 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR 
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER 
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD 
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

BRAGAW