FXUS64 KLCH 271054
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
454 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY SITUATED ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING
AND WITH THE LIGHT WINDS AND BREAKS IN THE CIRRUS...TEMPERATURES
THIS MORNING ARE THE COOLEST SO FAR THIS SEASON WITH MID 30S
CURRENTLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES WITH UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ZONES.

LIGHT WINDS AND LITTLE MIXING TODAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BEGIN TO SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND TOMORROW ALLOWING FOR
SOUTHERLY WINDS...MODERATING TEMPERATURES...AND INCREASING MOISTURE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE WEAK UPPER LOW IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM
OVER MEXICO THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AND MOVE TO THE
NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING HIGH AND MID CLOUDS EXPECTED. 

MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT PAST FEW RUNS
ON A POTENT STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE WEST COAST WILL
BECOME CUTOFF THIS WEEKEND OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES IN THE
SOUTHERN STREAM. MEANWHILE THE PORTION OF THE STORM SYSTEM THAT
CONTINUES ALONG IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT
TOWARDS THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUS
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE COOL AND WET AS THE FRONT
AND THE UPPER LOW IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM INTERACTS WITH ONE
ANOTHER. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN STEADY OR FALL DURING THE
DAY MONDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...AND MUCH IF NOT
ALL OF THE RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE POST FRONTAL.

THE RAINS LOOK TO COME TO AN END ON WEDNESDAY WITH DRIER AIR
FILTERING INTO THE REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  65  46  70  56  75 /   0   0  10  10  30 
KBPT  65  48  70  59  76 /   0   0  10  10  30 
KAEX  65  44  70  52  74 /   0   0  10  10  50 
KLFT  63  44  69  53  75 /   0   0  10  10  30 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

BRAZZELL