FXUS64 KTSA 042038
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
238 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009

.DISCUSSION...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY IN PLACE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF TO THE 
EAST AND OFFER A RETURN TO A SOUTHERLY WIND COMPONENT. HOWEVER ONE 
MORE NIGHT OF TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...THOUGH MAY BE 
JUST A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ACROSS WRN ZONES AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS 
BEGIN TO RETURN. QUIET DAY ON TAP FOR TOMORROW...THEN RAIN CHANCES 
INCREASE SUNDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL 
CONUS. HAVE OPTED FOR FOR DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE SUN NIGHT AS A 
HEALTHY MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. MONDAY APPEARS TO 
BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS...WITH RAIN OR FZRA CHANCES BEGINNING TO 
INCREASE LATE MONDAY NIGHT FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES APPEAR TOO 
WARM AT THIS TIME TUESDAY FOR A MENTION OF ANY WINTRY PRECIP AS THE 
BOUNDARY MOVES BACK NORTH. THERE MAY BE A SMALL WINDOW FOR SOME SNOW 
ACROSS NE OK AND NW AR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY EVENING/ NIGHT  
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THE THE MUCH COLDER ECMWF...BUT FOR NOW WILL 
KEEP VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS IN THE GRIDS.  HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH 
THE COLDER SOLUTION TEMP WISE FOR LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT AND FOR 
MAXIMUMS WEDNESDAY. BEYOND WEDNESDAY HAVE KEPT THINGS DRY FOR 
NOW...THOUGH ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES JUST BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THIS 
FORECAST.                

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   20  47  31  42 /   0   0   0  40 
FSM   21  47  27  46 /   0   0   0  40 
MLC   22  48  34  46 /   0   0   0  40 
BVO   17  47  28  41 /   0   0   0  40 
FYV   16  45  26  44 /   0   0   0  40 
BYV   18  44  26  42 /   0   0   0  40 
MKO   20  47  30  46 /   0   0   0  40 
MIO   18  46  28  43 /   0   0   0  40 
F10   20  48  33  46 /   0   0   0  40 
HHW   23  48  33  48 /   0   0  10  40 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....18