FXUS64 KAMA 262106
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
306 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2009
.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES FOR THE AFTERNOON ARE A BIT OF A CHALLENGE DUE TO THE
VARIABLE SNOW COVER AND THE WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WINDS IN
SOUTHWESTERN AREAS. THE DOWNSLOPE EFFECT WILL BE RATHER WEAK IN MOST
SITUATIONS DUE TO LOW WIND SPEEDS. IN CONTRAST...WINDS IN THE
NORTHEASTERN LOCATIONS ARE STILL BREEZY AND GUSTY DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST.
THE FRINGE EFFECTS OF THE LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE AND BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN HIGHS ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY.
SOME RIDGING...AND WARMING...IS ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY AS THE AREA
FALLS BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS. BY TUESDAY...THE PANHANDLES WILL COME
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM NOW NEAR THE WEST COAST.
A GOOD SHOT OF MOISTURE IS INDICATED AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY
BY THE GUIDANCE ALTHOUGH THE GFS SEEMS A LITTLE MORE AGGRESSIVE. THE
EURO SEEMS TO COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE OTHER MODELS. WE WILL GO WITH
THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF AND WILL
PROBABLY RAISE THE POPS ABOVE WHAT WE HAVE NOW.
FOR THE LATE WEEK...THE AREA WILL BE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE MID
LEVEL SYSTEM AS IT MOVES TO NORTHEAST. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN
CONTROL. BY NEXT WEEKEND...A WAVE MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE FLOW
AND MAY RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MORE PRECIPITATION.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SHOULD BE LOW THIS WEEK. HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. A MIDWEEK SYSTEM COULD
BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE PANHANDLES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX 18 39 19 41 22 / 0 0 0 0 10
BEAVER OK 17 37 17 42 18 / 0 0 0 0 10
BOISE CITY OK 17 38 17 42 17 / 0 0 0 0 10
BORGER TX 20 40 21 44 25 / 0 0 0 0 10
BOYS RANCH TX 16 41 18 43 22 / 0 0 0 0 10
CANYON TX 14 41 16 43 21 / 0 0 0 0 10
CLARENDON TX 20 40 21 43 25 / 0 0 0 0 10
DALHART TX 16 39 16 41 18 / 0 0 0 0 10
GUYMON OK 18 40 18 43 20 / 0 0 0 0 10
HEREFORD TX 12 41 14 41 22 / 0 0 0 0 10
LIPSCOMB TX 19 40 18 43 19 / 0 0 0 0 10
PAMPA TX 20 38 22 40 24 / 0 0 0 0 10
SHAMROCK TX 20 43 21 45 25 / 0 0 0 0 10
WELLINGTON TX 22 42 21 45 25 / 0 0 0 0 10
&&
.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
&&
$$
02/21
