FXUS64 KSHV 161015
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
415 AM CST WED DEC 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS LINGER ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THIS MORNING...AS
TEMPS RANGE FROM THE MID 20S IN MC CURTAIN COUNTY TO NEAR 40 IN
DEEP EAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
TROUGH AXIS OVER WEST TEXAS AND OLD MEXICO...AND MODELS SLOWLY
MOVE THIS FEATURE EASTWARD AS WE CLOSE OUT THE WORK WEEK. THE
TROUGH AXIS WILL WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE AREA THURSDAY...BUT
CLOUDS WILL LINGER UNTIL IT PASSES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME
RAIN MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK DISTURBANCE...SO WE ARE
HOLDING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE SOUTH IN THE FORECAST
THURSDAY JUST TO RESPECT THE DISTURBANCE. OTHER THAN THIS A DRY
FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR THIS PACKAGE...WITH MODELS HINTING TOWARD
SOME REAL COLD AIR COMING JUST BEFORE CHRISTMAS. WE WILL CONTINUE
TO WATCH THE EXTENDED CLOSELY...AS IT COULD BECOME VERY
INTERESTING TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

ELEVEN 

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU FCST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE 
NORTH WILL MAINTAIN DRY AIRMASS AND NE SFC WINDS...WHILE DEVELOPING 
LOW ALONG OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN GULF...WILL KEEP UPPER 
LVL CLOUDS...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 30...IN PLACE WITH PSBL MID 
LVL CLOUD DECKS DEVELOPING AFTER 0Z THURSDAY. LOW DEWPOINTS...HIGH 
CLOUDS...AND NE WINDS WILL STIFLE ANY OVERNIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT.
/VII/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  52  35  53  36  61 /   0   0  10  10   0 
MLU  50  35  50  36  59 /   0   0  10  10   0 
DEQ  51  28  54  30  59 /   0   0   0   0   0 
TXK  50  32  52  34  61 /   0   0   0   0   0 
ELD  50  32  51  34  61 /   0   0   0   0   0 
TYR  52  37  54  35  62 /   0   0  10   0   0 
GGG  52  36  54  35  62 /   0   0  10   0   0 
LFK  54  38  55  37  63 /   0  10  20  10   0 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/07