FXUS64 KLZK 151730
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1130 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW LOW CLOUDS
REMAINED OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD FOR ALL SITES. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET.
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 424 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009/
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION THIS
MORNING...AND WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF
COAST. THERE WILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN FAR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
EARLY IN THE DAY...BUT THESE SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE COUNTY WARNING
AREA. OTHERWISE...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE AREA FROM THE PLAINS WITH A CLEARING SKY.
THE HIGH WILL BRING DRIER/COLDER AIR TO ARKANSAS...WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE COMING DAYS.
THE HIGH WILL EXIT TO THE EAST THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY MODIFY TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS. AT THE SAME TIME...A
STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE PERIOD ENDS.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN/LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES.
LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
LONG TERM BEGINS WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE DIVING SOUTH ACROSS THE
PLAINS...WITH UPPER TROUGH AXIS DEEPENING OVER THE MID MS RIVER
VALLEY REGION. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH ANOTHER COLD FRONT SOUTH
ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND COMBINED WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE IN PLACE
ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH GENERATE PRECIP ACROSS THE OZARKS AND MID
SOUTH EARLY IN THE LONG TERM. AT THIS TIME...TEMP PROFILES LOOK COLD
ENOUGH FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX EARLY SATURDAY...THEN RAIN DURING SAT
AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH PRECIP
LINGERING FOR A WINTRY MIX LATE SAT BEFORE THE MOISTURE MOVES EAST
OF THE STATE.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL...WITH ADDITIONAL
REINFORCING SHOTS OF COLD AIR IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER SHORTWAVES
DIVING SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. CONTINUED WITH A FEW DEGREES BELOW
GUIDANCE THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG TERM.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 22 45 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 28 50 30 55 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 21 48 28 52 / 0 0 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 26 49 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 26 48 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 30 48 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 25 50 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 21 46 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 23 45 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 28 48 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 23 48 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 24 47 28 52 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 26 47 28 52 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...60
