FXUS62 KTBW 241335
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
835 AM EST THU DEC 24 2009

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH WELL WEST OF THE REGION AND RIDGING 
ALOFT THE AREA IS PRODUCING SW FLOW ABOVE THE GULF WHICH IS
STREAMING SOME HIGH CLOUDINESS TOWARD THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES
ACROSS THE STATE WITH GENERALLY EAST AND SE LOW LEVEL FLOW.

THE FORECAST FOR TODAY LOOKS OK...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS - EXCEPT A CHANCE IN THE FAR SOUTH - DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WILL UPDATE ZONES AND GRIDS TO REMOVE THE
PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING IN THE FAR NORTH...WHICH HAS NOW BURNED
OFF. FORECASTS OUT BY 930 AM.

&&

.AVIATION...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY...WITH 
SCT-BKN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AND SOME GUSTY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
THEN AFTER MIDNIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BRINGING 
SOME SHOWERS AND MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES TO THE TERMINALS. 

&&

.MARINE...SURFACE RIDGE MAINTAINS A TIGHT ENOUGH GRADIENT TODAY
FOR SE WINDS AT EXERCISE CAUTION SPEEDS ON THE NEAR SHORE GULF
WATERS WITH ADVISORY CONDITIONS OFFSHORE. TAMPA BAY WATERS WILL
BE NEAR 15KT. THE RIDGE CONTINUES A TIGHT GRADIENT TONIGHT AS ITS
AXIS SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EAST...WITH GULF WINDS VEERING TO SOUTH. NEXT
FORECAST OUT AROUND 930 WITH LITTLE IF ANY CHANGE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY FOR BONITA BEACH TO 
     ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 
     20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 
     NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...09/RUDE 
AVIATION...24/COLSON