FXUS64 KMEG 272327
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
527 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009

.UPDATE...

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

/ISSUED 258 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009/

SKIES REMAIN SUNNY OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO INTO THE 50S. HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE
GULF COAST WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BECOME
A LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY TONIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN THURSDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE
DRY AND MUCH WARMER THAN TODAY AS WARMER AIR MOVES BACK INTO THE
REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST
AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH RAIN CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
BEFORE ENDING SOMETIME ON MONDAY. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH RAINFALL
FROM THIS FRONT TO KEEP MEMPHIS AND JACKSON TENNESSEE FROM HAVING
THE DRIEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO
THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT KEEPING THINGS COOL AND DRY FOR
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAYS FORECAST APPEARS TO
BE SOMEWHAT TRICKY AS UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES THROUGH THE GULF COAST
STATES AND A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. IT
APPEARS THAT THERE SHOULD BE SOME RAIN FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON TIMING OF THESE SYSTEMS SO FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BUILD IN AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND VEER SLIGHTLY AFTER 15Z.

MBS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  44  67  48  64 /   0   0  10  40 
MKL  37  65  44  61 /   0   0  10  40 
JBR  40  63  46  58 /   0   0  10  60 
TUP  36  64  43  64 /   0   0  10  30 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$