FXUS63 KPAH 251905
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009

.DISCUSSION...
CLEARING OVER NRN AR MAY WORK ACROSS SEMO/SWKY THIS EVENING...BUT
OTHERWISE ANTICIPATE GENERALLY MORE CLOUDS THAN NOT FROM LINGERING
CYCLONE. WINDS CURRENTLY STILL GUSTING THRU 20S KTS MOST
PLACES...AND STILL HITTING L30S KTS FAR NE PTNS FA...SO WILL LIKELY
KILL OFF WIND ADVISORY BY MID-LATE PM AS GRADIENT SHOULD ONLY LESSEN
W/TIME AT THIS POINT. LINGERING --SN/FLURRIES CHC WILL CONT PRETTY
MUCH OFF/ON INTO/THRU THE WEEKEND...AS PVA/ENERGY AND MOISTURE
MAXES ARE PINWHEELED AROUND THE UPPER LOW. THINK PERHAPS BEST
CHANCE AT LIGHT ACCUMS ON GRASSY SURFACES WILL BE SUNDAY...WHEN
BOTH ECMWF/GFS SHOW LIGHT QPF WHICH MAY SUPPORT A DUSTING.

AFTER SUNDAY THE DEPARTING BROAD CYCLONE YIELDS TO A MORE ZONAL
PATTERN FOR EARLY-MID WEEK NEXT. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A DRY
FORECAST TIL TUE NIGHT...WHEN MOISTURE TRANSPORT IN ZONAL FLOW
PATTERN RETURNS CHC PCPN. AIRMASS IS STILL COLD ENOUGH AT THAT
TIME TO SUPPORT FREEZING OR FROZEN PCPN SO WE'LL MAINTAIN THE
GOING EITHER/OR WORDING AND CARRY SOME FORM/CHC POP FROM TUE
NIGHT-WED-WED NIGHT. THIS TOO COULD END UP BEING A LIGHT
ACCUMULATION EVENT SO WE THREW A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN INCH INTO THE
SNOW GRIDS.

COLD/COLDER THAN MOS TEMPS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND
WITH SOME MODERATION MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. 

&&

.AVIATION...
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.  SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KTS 
WITH GUSTS OF 28 TO 35 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z.  AFTER 
00Z...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 12 TO 20 KTS WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS...INCREASING A LITTLE AFTER 13Z. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PERIOD WITH ONE EXCEPTION. THROUGH
00Z...LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE AND MAY DROP CIGS AND VSBYS TO MVFR.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE. 
IN...NONE.

&&

$$