FXUS64 KMRX 292008
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER 
PATTERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. RIDGING SUPPRESSING TO THE SOUTH. 
AIRMASS BEGINNING TO MOISTEN FROM ABOVE AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY ADVECTS 
MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. STRENGTHENING UPPER TROF WILL SE INTO THE 
TN RVR VLY EARLY MONDAY. BEST Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE OCCURRING LATE 
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. WIDESPREAD PCPN ON TRACK AFTER MIDNIGHT 
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY AFTN 
WITH A DECREASE IN PCPN AND DROPPING TEMPS BEFORE SUNSET. SURFACE 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE AREA BY 
TUESDAY. 

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
MOVES FROM THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH DEEP MOISTURE EXPECTED 
WITH IT...WILL KEEP CATEGORICAL POPS GOING FOR WEDNESDAY AND 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COLDER AIR FILTERING IN ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE 
A WINTERY MIX ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BEST CHANCE OF SNOW ACCUMULATION 
SHOULD BE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION. A SHORTWAVE FOLLOWS ON 
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY AND SLIGHT 
CHANCE FOR FRIDAY WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE NORTH ON BOTH DAYS 
WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE LINGERS. MAY SEE SNOW AGAIN ON THURSDAY 
NIGHT AS WELL WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATION WILL BE ACROSS 
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS BRINGING DRY WEATHER 
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. STAYED NEAR MEX/HPC GUIDANCE FOR 
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             47  53  33  59  41 /  70  90   0  10  50 
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  46  52  33  55  39 /  70  90   0  10  40 
OAK RIDGE, TN                       46  51  32  56  39 /  70  90   0  10  40 
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              41  50  29  52  35 /  70  90   0  10  20 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

$$

SON/GH