FXUS64 KSHV 081950
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
150 PM CST TUE DEC 8 2009
.DISCUSSION...
PREFRONTAL CONVECTIVE LINE MOVING ACROSS NW LA...TO NEAR ELD
AR...EXPECTED TO ABRUPTLY STRENGTHEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH NWWD
MOVG WARM FRONT ENTERING NORTHERN LA. DEWPOINTS JUST SOUTH OF CWA
AROUND 70 DEGREES WITH SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. LOW LVL SHEAR
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS IN WARM SECTOR. TORNADO WATCH
ISSUED UNTIL 9 PM. REDUCED POPS AND REMOVED THUNDER FOR MOST OF
AREA BEHIND CONVECTIVE LINE...EVEN THROUGH MAIN FRONT WELL WEST OF
AREA AND SURPRISINGLY ILL DEFINED. ADJUSTED WINDS TO ACCOUNT FOR
DIFFERING AIR MASSES IN CWA...AND SIMILARLY REINITIALIZED AND
ADJUSTED TEMP AND DEWPOINT FIELDS.
IN ADDITION...ADDED PATCHY DENSE FOG WHERE NEEDED...OUTSIDE OF
WARM SECTOR...FOR RECENT TRENDS./VII/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 63 43 48 27 48 / 70 20 10 0 10
MLU 69 45 49 27 48 / 80 50 10 0 10
DEQ 54 36 44 20 47 / 60 10 10 0 0
TXK 57 40 46 22 46 / 70 10 10 0 0
ELD 60 40 47 23 46 / 70 40 10 0 10
TYR 57 41 46 27 49 / 60 10 10 0 0
GGG 59 42 47 27 49 / 60 10 10 0 10
LFK 68 46 53 28 51 / 80 10 10 0 10
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$