FXUS63 KICT 150830
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
230 AM CST TUE DEC 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CONCERNS WILL DEAL WITH TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS...THEN FOCUS ON SNOW CHANCES ON FRIDAY WITH NEXT WEATHER
SYSTEM.

TDY-TONIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP A BIT MORE TODAY BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW 
NORMAL...AS POLAR AIRMASS MODIFIES SLOWLY EVEN WITH THE STAR SHINING 
BRIGHTLY ALL DAY. 

WED-THU
A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS PERIOD AS WARMER AIR FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST FINALLY MIGRATES NORTHWARD BACK INTO THE REGION. 

EXTENDED: FRI-MON
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFYING OVER THE 
WESTERN STATES FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL FORCE 
MORE POLAR AIR SOUTHWARD INTO KANSAS AND BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO 
THE REGION ON FRIDAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE SLIDES SOUTHEAST 
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW A DEEPENING 
TREND FOR THIS WAVE...AND IF THE TREND HOLDS THEN A BOOST IN SNOW
CHANCES WILL BE FORTHCOMING WITH LATER UPDATES.

JAKUB

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE AREA THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD SHOWN THE LOW CLOUDS
HAD FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE CNU TAF SITE. LATEST SATELLITE LOOP
WAS ALSO SHOWING A PATCH OF MVFR STRATUS (2KFT) NEAR GREAT BEND.
THESE CEILINGS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SCOUR OUT DURING THE NEXT HOUR
OR SO AS DRIER AIR AND ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE KICKS IN. THE SURFACE
RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST TOMORROW WITH SOUTHEAST FLOW
RETURNING TO CENTRAL KANSAS TOMORROW EVENING. 

COX

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    28  18  45  24 /   0   0   0   0 
HUTCHINSON      26  16  45  23 /   0   0   0   0 
NEWTON          26  16  44  25 /   0   0   0   0 
ELDORADO        28  16  45  23 /   0   0   0   0 
WINFIELD-KWLD   31  17  47  28 /   0   0   0   0 
RUSSELL         19  10  37  19 /   0   0   0   0 
GREAT BEND      22  13  41  18 /   0   0   0   0 
SALINA          20  12  37  20 /   0   0   0   0 
MCPHERSON       23  15  42  23 /   0   0   0   0 
COFFEYVILLE     31  17  48  29 /   0   0   0   0 
CHANUTE         28  16  45  30 /   0   0   0   0 
IOLA            27  16  45  27 /   0   0   0   0 
PARSONS-KPPF    29  17  47  30 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$