FXUS64 KMEG 252049
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
249 PM CST WED NOV 25 2009

.DISCUSSION...

THE MIDSOUTH EXPERIENCED SUNNY SKIES AND MAX TEMPERATURES NEAR 60
DEGREES. WINDS WERE WESTERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. 

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS ILLINOIS AND INDIANA
THIS EVENING. COOLER AIR AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO
THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY SUNRISE. CONSIDERABLY COOLER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED THANKSGIVING DAY WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RISING
INTO THE LOWER 50S.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
COMMENCE SATURDAY AND HELP TRANSPORT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. BY SUNDAY RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS A
COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE COUNTRY. RAINFALL WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER-RIDING THE COOL SURFACE AIR. PRECIPITATION
WILL END BY MONDAY NIGHT. THE GFS AND ECMWF HANDLE THE SYSTEM NEXT
WEEK DIFFERENTLY. THE GFS IS THE MUCH WETTER SOLUTION. SOMETHING
TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW SHIFTS TO SEE WHAT THE EVOLUTION WILL
BE. STAY TUNED.

AC

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF CYCLE

CLEAR SKIES SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BE
WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON THEN DIMINISH TO
AROUND 5 KNOTS AFTER SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AT
INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.

ARS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  39  54  35  56 /   0  10   0   0 
MKL  35  50  30  51 /   0  10   0   0 
JBR  35  51  30  53 /   0  10   0   0 
TUP  35  54  32  56 /   0  10   0   0 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$