FXUS62 KMLB 100141
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
841 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING.
A THIN LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EXISTS JUST AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA FROM BLUE SPRINGS TO JACKSONVILLE.
HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT (AROUND 30%) WILL CONTINUE TO BE
FROM NORTH AND WEST OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS SLOW PROGRESSION TOWARD
CENTRAL FLORIDA. WILL KEEP LOWER END RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
OVERNIGHT AS MAIN SHOWER BAND WILL NOT BE ABLE TO REACH LAKE AND
VOLUSIA UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE FINALLY
DECREASED AFTER SUNSET AND SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH
THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ALOFT AROUND
20-25 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST LOOK TO TRANSPORT AN AREA OF LOW
LEVEL STRATUS THAT HAS EXISTED ALONG THE WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA EASTWARD OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
CLOUDINESS AND AREAS OF FOG. FOG SHOULD NOT BE AS DENSE OR
WIDESPREAD NORTH OF THE TREASURE COAST WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST. WILL ONLY UPDATE THE ZONES TO REFRESH
WORDING...OTHERWISE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...ELEVATED SW WINDS ALOFT WILL TRANSPORT AN AREA OF LOW
LEVEL STRATUS TOWARD EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
CIGS LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA THURS MORNING MVFR CIGS WILL STICK
AROUND WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFT.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES PLANNED. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE S/SW
AROUND 15KTS OFFSHORE TO AROUND 10-15 KTS NEARSHORE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL REACH THE NORTHERN
WATERS EARLY THURS MORNING. SEAS WILL EXIST UP TO 2-3 FT
NEARSHORE TO 3-4 FT OFFSHORE.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WEITLICH/GLITTO