FXUS64 KBMX 090255
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
855 PM CST TUE DEC 8 2009

.UPDATE...EVENING FORECAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT FORECAST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK. MADE SOME CHANGES TO BOTH
THE HOURLY AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. MOST IF NOT ALL LOCATIONS
HAVE ALREADY REACHED THE FORECAST LOW. BASICALLY...THE TREND FOR
THE REST OF THE NIGHT IS FOR TEMPERATURES TO ACTUALLY BE
INCREASING.

THE THREAT OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY HAS NOT CHANGED. STILL EXPECTING
FOR MOST OF THE ACTIVITY TO REMAIN WEST OF INTERSTATE 65 WITH THE
THREAT EXTENDING OUT AT LEAST THROUGH 2 AM. PLEASE REMAIN VIGILANT
BY EITHER LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
(RADIO OR TELEVISION) FOR FREQUENT UPDATES. 

10/ARM

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

QUITE A MESSY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. LOW CLOUDS AND 
VISIBILITIES ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE CONDITIONS TO  
RANGE BETWEEN MVFR...IFR AND POSSIBLY LIFR ON AND OFF THROUGHOUT THE 
NIGHT. BASED THE TIMING ON WHEN THE MAIN LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE 
THROUGH ALL SITES ON THE CURRENT RADAR TREND. WILL ADJUST THOSE AS 
NEEDED.

MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOMORROW...EVEN THOUGH MODELS 
WANT TO CLEAR CLOUDS OUT COMPLETELY. MODELS DO TEND CLEAR CLOUDS TOO 
FAST IN THESE KIND OF SITUATIONS AND I BELIEVE THAT THIS IS ONE OF 
THOSE CASES.

10/ARM

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA.

&&

$$