FXUS66 KMFR 260458
AFDMFR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
858 PM PST WED NOV 25 2009

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING NORTHERN OREGON WATERS
TONIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO OUR COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH RAIN SPREADING INTO THE COASTAL AREAS TOWARD THURSDAY EVENING.
LATEST MODEL RUN CONTINUES WITH A SLOW PROGRESSION INLAND AND
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE ROGUE VALLEY UNTIL OVERNIGHT
THURSDAY AND COULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WITH SPLIT FLOW
ALOFT THIS FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVEL RISES TO NEAR 7000 FEET THURSDAY EVENING
BUT IS EXPECTED TO LOWER TO NEAR 3500 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A
RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH DRY OFFSHORE FLOW FOR
SOUTHWEST OREGON DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...LARGE SWELLS WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO BREAKING WAVES AROUND 25 FEET
THURSDAY NIGHT NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...AT THE COAST EXPECT AREAS OF MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE FRONT SPREADS LOWER CLOUDS INLAND WITH RAIN
ARRIVING AROUND 20Z. KMFR...KRBG AND KLMT ARE EXPECTED TO COME
DOWN TO IFR AGAIN AROUND DAYBREAK BUT SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
QUICKLY AROUND 18Z.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR 
     ORZ021-ORZ022.

CA...NONE.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 10 AM 
     THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-
     PZZ376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY 
     AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 PM PST THURSDAY 
     FOR PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 PM PST THURSDAY 
     FOR PZZ350-PZZ370-PZZ376.

$$

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