FXUS61 KCLE 250737
AFDCLE

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT 
A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.   THE LOW WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT 
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST QUESTION OF THE DAY IS WILL THE SURGE OF WARM AIR BEAT THE 
APPROACHING RAIN?  RAIN HAS ALREADY PUSHED NORTHEAST OF DAYTON WITH 
MANSFIELD ALREADY WARMING TO 38 DEGREES.  EXPECT ALL THE 
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA TO 
FALL AS RAIN AS DEW POINTS ARE ALREADY IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S AND  
DO NOT THINK EVAPORATIONAL COOLING WILL OVERCOME THE WARM SURGE.  

KEPT FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE INLAND SNOWBELT EAST OF 
CLEVELAND AND THE MAHONING VALLEY.  THINK IT MAY TAKE A BIT LONGER 
TO SCOUR OUT THE VALLEYS...PLUS EVAPORATIONAL COOLING SHOULD BE A 
BIGGER FACTOR AS DEW POINTS CURRENTLY HOVERING AROUND 20.  EXPECT 
THIS TO BE A VERY SHORT LIVED EVENT.

WITH SOUTHEAST DOWN SLOPPING FLOW DO NOT EXPECT ANY FREEZING PRECIP 
ALONG THE LAKE SHORE. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
GOOD LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON.  THE 925MB WINDS 
INCREASE TO 50 KNOTS AND THE 850MB WINDS TO 75 KNOTS BY 21Z.  
BUFKIT MOMENTUM TRANSFER INDICATES A STABLE CONDITION WITH A PEAK 
GUST WITH 25 TO 30 KNOTS. INVERSION QUIT STRONG BUT THERE COULD BE A 
FEW HOURS OF GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 KNOTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WILL 
NOT GO WITH AN ADVISORY ATTM.

THE COLD AIR SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.  BUT WITH 850MB TEMPS 
ONLY BETWEEN MINUS 10C TO MINUS 12C AND WITH A SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER 
THE LAKE DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS 
WEEKEND. DO GET A SECONDARY SHOT OF COLD AIR SUNDAY WILL PRODUCE 
MORE WIDESPREAD SNOW.  A BETTER CHANCE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW MONDAY 
AS WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY OVER THE LAKE. 

&&