FXUS64 KMOB 281611
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1006 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2009

.SHORT TERM UPDATE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...SHORTWAVE AND AN 80 KT 
UPPER JETMAX MOVING OUT OF EAST TEXAS IS PRODUCING A THICK LAYER OF 
ALTOCU AND CIRRUS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY WILL CONTINUE 
MOVING EAST INTO MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  RADAR 
SHOWING A FEW 20 DBZ RETURNS AT ABOUT 15000 FT AGL TO THE WEST.  
REGIONAL SOUNDING OBSERVATIONS SHOW A FAIRLY DRY LAYER UP TO ABOUT 
18000 FT...SO THINK ABOUT THE MOST WE WILL GET IS A VERY LIGHT 
SPRINKLE OR TWO OVER OUR WESTERN ZONES FALLING OUT OF THE 
MID-DECK...IF EVEN THAT.  FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...WE LOWERED THE 
MAX TEMPS TODAY A FEW DEGREES INTO THE LOWER 60S OVER THE EASTERN 
2/3RDS OF THE AREA AND KEPT THEM IN THE MID 60S IN THE WEST WHERE 
PREVALENT BREAKS IN THE CLOUDCOVER CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE MID 
AFTERNOON.  BUMPED WINDS UP ABOUT 5 KNOTS IN THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST 
WHERE NORTHEAST FLOW UNDER THE RIDGE IS STILL PREVAILING FOR TODAY.  
/05

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...CONTRARY TO THE SOUNDING DATA...WE ARE SEEING 
SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS BETWEEN 020 AND 030 ACROSS THE AREA.  THEY 
WENT BRIEFLY BROKEN AT 020 AT KBFM...BUT THAT QUICKLY WENT BACK TO 
SCT.  THINK THE RAGGED SCT LOW CLOUDS ARE BEING PRODUCED AS VIRGA 
FALLS INTO THE DRY LAYER FROM ALOFT...AND DONT THINK IT WILL 
TRANSLATE INTO A PREVAILING CEILING BELOW THE MID-DECK.  /05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$