FXUS64 KFWD 272114
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
314 PM CST FRI NOV 27 2009
.DISCUSSION...
ONE MORE MILD DAY IS IN STORE FOR NORTH TEXAS BEFORE MUCH
COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER ARRIVES SUNDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
SLOWLY INCREASE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS
LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE. CHANGES WILL TAKE
PLACE ON SUNDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION AND
INTERACTS WITH ABUNDANT LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE. LIFT WILL ALSO
BE ENHANCED ACROSS THE REGION AS A DEEP UPPER LOW TRANSLATES
SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM BAJA. MID LEVEL INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS... ESPECIALLY
SUNDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST MONDAY BUT WILL MAINTAIN SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION. ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE LIGHT AND SHOULD ALL FALL AS COLD RAIN...
BUT AS COLD AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE ALOFT...IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT A FEW SNOW FLAKES COULD MIX IN WITH THE RAIN. FOR NOW WE WILL
NOT MENTION ANY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW AS THE EVENT IS STILL SEVERAL
DAYS OUT AND THE EXTENDED MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT ON THE
FORECASTED TEMPERATURE/MOISTURE PROFILES. ALSO...SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING SO THERE WOULD BE NO IMPACT IF
SOME MIXED PRECIP WERE TO OCCUR. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP BEHIND THE EXITING UPPER LOW AND CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE
DECREASE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND.
79
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 50 72 59 61 40 / 5 10 10 50 70
WACO, TX 50 72 59 65 43 / 5 10 10 50 80
PARIS, TX 44 68 54 61 41 / 5 5 10 60 70
DENTON, TX 49 72 56 59 39 / 5 5 10 50 60
MCKINNEY, TX 47 71 57 61 41 / 5 5 10 60 70
DALLAS, TX 50 72 60 61 41 / 5 5 10 50 70
TERRELL, TX 48 72 59 64 43 / 5 5 10 60 80
CORSICANA, TX 49 70 60 66 43 / 5 5 10 50 80
TEMPLE, TX 49 72 61 66 44 / 5 10 10 40 80
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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