FXUS64 KSHV 042105
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
305 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009
.DISCUSSION...
SNOW DEVELOPED OVER EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND NORTH
LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...VERY DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE
EVAPORATED MOST OF THE SNOW AS IT FELL...LIMITING ACCUMULATIONS TO
JUST TRACE AMOUNTS SO FAR. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY OVER THE SOUTH ZONES AS PREVIOUSLY ISSUED...BUT WILL
LOWER THE ACCUMULATION STATEMENTS TO ONE INCH.
SNOW SHOULD END AND SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT LATE TONIGHT...AND WITH
LIGHT WINDS...A SIGNIFICANT FREEZE SHOULD OCCUR. A FREEZE WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS THAT HAVE NOT HAD A DECENT FREEZE YET
THIS SEASON. THAT INCLUDES ALL OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS.
FOR SATURDAY A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES IS
COMING. THEN A SERIES OF FRONTS AND UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA FROM SUNDAY NIGHT...THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE TIMING ON EACH OF THESE
SYSTEMS...BUT YOU WILL SEE CHANCES OF RAIN FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT...TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY FOR THESE
WEATHER SYSTEMS. CAN/T BE MORE SPECIFIC AT THIS TIME ON THESE
SYSTEMS EXCEPT TO SAY...WE DON/T THINK SEVERE WEATHER IS GOING TO
OCCUR WITH ANY OF THESE.
&&
.AVIATION...
OCCASIONAL -SN BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...MAINLY AT I20 TERMINAL SITES AND SOUTH. VFR CONDITIONS
STILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER
IN AT THE SURFACE...WHILE WARM GULF MOISTURE OVERRIDES. LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE FORECAST IS EXPECTED IN THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE...AS MOST
SN SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY SOUTH OF I20. MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE
THE LOWEST FLIGHT CATEGORIES OBSERVED THIS EVENING...THEN RETURNING
TO VFR DOMINATED TAFS AFTER 06Z. PRECIP SHOULD END ACROSS THE AREA
AROUND 06Z.
/11/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 25 49 31 51 42 / 20 0 10 30 50
MLU 26 48 31 52 43 / 40 0 10 30 50
DEQ 21 48 26 49 34 / 10 0 10 30 40
TXK 25 49 33 50 39 / 10 0 10 30 40
ELD 23 48 29 52 35 / 20 0 10 30 50
TYR 24 50 34 53 41 / 10 0 10 30 40
GGG 24 49 33 52 39 / 20 0 10 30 50
LFK 25 51 34 55 47 / 30 0 10 30 50
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ018>022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ017.
OK...NONE.
TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ149-152-153-165>167.
&&
$$
03/11