FXUS64 KSHV 102108
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
308 PM CST THU DEC 10 2009
.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A NICE BUT COOL DAY TODAY...THE WEATHER WILL AGAIN BE RATHER
UNSETTLED OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. CLOUDS SHOULD BE ON THE
INCREASE FRIDAY...ALL THE WAY TO CLOUDY CONDITIONS BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. THESE CLOUDS ARE IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTH PART OF THE AREA...AND
PROGRESSING NORTH TO COVER MOST OF THE FOUR STATE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT. AND IT WILL BE A COLD RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
AND UPPER 30S WHILE THE RAIN IS FALLING. MAY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN IN THE FAR NORTH ZONES OF
MCCURTAIN...HOWARD AND SEVIER COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING...AS TEMPERATURES DIP TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK
AT DEQUEEN. THIS SHOULD NOT POSE A PROBLEM TO STREETS AS THE
TEMPERATURE WILL NOT BE BELOW FREEZING FOR LONG...IF AT ALL...AND
THE CHANCE OF RAIN IN THAT AREA IS ONLY ABOUT 20 PERCENT. RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE MUCH HIGHER IN THE EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA
ZONES FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING. THE
RAIN IS A RESULT OF GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFT FORECAST TO OCCUR FRIDAY
NIGHT OVER OUR AREA.
BEYOND THAT...CONDITIONS SHOULD SLOWLY DRY OUT FROM WEST TO EAST
ON SATURDAY...WITH A PLEASANT DAY ON TAP FOR SUNDAY. RAIN AGAIN
MOVES INTO THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON...MONDAY NIGHT...AND EARLY
TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT BARRELS THROUGH THE FOUR STATE AREA.
WENT A LITTLE COLDER THAN MOS ON THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...BECAUSE THE FRONT LOOKS TO BE STRONG. THE END OF NEXT
WEEK LOOKS DRY.
&&
.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES
TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
SO THAT HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE THE ONLY TYPE OF CLOUD COVER SEEN
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY AND INTO TONIGHT. A RETURN OF
CLOUDS BASED AT OR AROUND 5K FT CAN BE EXPECTED BY MID MORNING ON
FRIDAY. THE FORECAST PERIOD SHOULD REMAIN VFR FOR THE ENTIRE
REGION. HOWEVER THE AREA WILL SEE CIGS CONTINUING TO LOWER THROUGH
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS ON FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THE AREA WILL ALSO SEE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES WITH LIGHT
RAIN EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND
ESPECIALLY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF
THE EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 5-10
KTS...AND POSSIBLY A LITTLE LOWER OVERNIGHT.
/22/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 31 46 37 47 45 / 0 20 60 40 20
MLU 31 44 35 45 43 / 0 20 60 60 20
DEQ 22 46 31 46 38 / 0 10 20 20 10
TXK 29 45 35 46 42 / 0 10 40 30 10
ELD 28 44 34 45 40 / 0 10 40 40 20
TYR 31 45 38 52 47 / 0 20 60 30 10
GGG 31 47 38 49 42 / 0 20 60 30 10
LFK 33 46 39 53 47 / 0 40 80 40 10
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
03/22
