FXUS64 KTSA 292054
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
254 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 
IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THIS 
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION QUICKLY... WITH RAINFALL 
ENDING THIS EVENING. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT OVERNIGHT. 
MONDAY AND MOST OF TUESDAY WILL REMAIN DRY... WITH NEAR SEASONAL
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY AS A SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED UPPER LOW PASSES TO OUR SOUTH 
ACROSS TEXAS. THERE IS AT LEAST SOME POSSIBILITY OF A LIGHT WINTRY 
MIX WITHIN THE WRAP AROUND AREA TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW CENTER AS IT 
PASSES. THIS WOULD BE LOCATED MAINLY FROM INTERSTATE 44 SOUTHWARD 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER... TEMPERATURES AT THE 
SURFACE AND ALOFT DO NOT SUPPORT MUCH... IF ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY SO 
WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE IT OUT OF THE FORECAST AND LET LATER SHIFTS 
CONTINUE TO ANALYZE.   

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST APPEARS TRANQUIL... WITH QUITE A BIT OF 
CLOUDINESS. THIS COMBINED WITH A COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL HOLD 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL GOING INTO AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   34  57  34  56 /  10   0  10   0 
FSM   39  56  33  59 /  50   0  10   0 
MLC   37  57  32  57 /  40   0  10  10 
BVO   30  57  28  59 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   33  53  29  57 /  40   0   0   0 
BYV   34  52  33  56 /  50   0   0   0 
MKO   34  54  34  57 /  30   0  10   0 
MIO   33  55  32  59 /  10   0   0   0 
F10   35  55  33  56 /  20   0  10   0 
HHW   40  58  33  54 /  50   0  10  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....06