FXUS66 KHNX 290443
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
843 PM PST SAT NOV 28 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND THEN 
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY. THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN 
OVER KERN COUNTY INTO THE EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO 
THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAIN FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. EXPECT 
SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PRECIPITATION HAS PRETTY MUCH COME TO AN END OVER
THE KERN COUNTY AREA WITH EDWARDS RADAR SHOWING JUST A FEW SHOWERS
MAKING IT INTO THE AREA IN THE WRAP AROUND. THE UPPER LOW HAS
SAGGED INTO CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE JET CORE IS
NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NOW LINING UP PERPENDICULAR TO THE
SIERRA. BASED ON THE RENO 00Z SOUNDING THERE IS PLENTY OF MOMENTUM
ALOFT TO CREATE MONO WINDS IN THE SIERRA. MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN IS
GUSTING TO NEAR 60 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST HOWEVER MOUNT WARREN
APPEARS TO HAVE FROZEN UP. THUS FAR JUST A FEW ISOLATED REPORTS OF
TREES DOWN IN THE NORTH FORK AREAS AND TO THE NORTH OF YOSEMITE.
FEEL THAT WITH THE REALIZED LOWER LEVEL MOMENTUM AT MOUNT DIABLO
IN THE BAY AREA THAT THE MONO WILL MATERIALIZE SOMEWHERE...JUST
WHERE? GIVEN THIS, WILL KEEP THE HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT AS
MODELS KEEP THE PATTERN FAVORABLE UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE, OVER THE INDIAN WELLS VALLEY AND EL PASO MOUNTAINS,
WINDS HAVE INDEED REALLY PICKED UP WELL INTO ADVISORY LEVELS.
THE ONLY GRID UPDATES I HAVE MADE THIS EVENING IS WINDS AND THIS
ONLY FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AS THE LATEST MESOSCALE RUN OF THE WRF
MODEL HAS A VERY GOOD HANDLE ON THE SPEED AND DISTRIBUTION OF
OBSERVED WINDS. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS DRY WITH BOUTS OF
MORNING FROST IN COLDER AREAS.
&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR THROUGH 06Z MONDAY. THE 
EXCEPTION BEING LOCAL MVFR CEILINGS ALONG THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA 
CREST AND LOCAL MVFR VISIBILITIES IN MIST IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY 
UNTIL 18Z SUNDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 AM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ093-096.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ098.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DUDLEY
AVN/FW...MOLINA

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD