FXUS64 KOUN 112031
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
231 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASE CAME IN AHEAD OF MODEL'S SCHEDULE THIS
MORNING AND OVERCAST SKIES PERSIST OVER ALL BUT THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW LEADING TO LOW CEILINGS AND
LIKELY SOME AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN. HAVE INCREASED POPS
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING AND HAVE
EXPENDED THE AREA WHERE DRIZZLE IS MENTIONED... ALTHOUGH STILL
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO BE LIGHT. WITH LINGERING CLOUD COVER ON
SATURDAY... WILL KEEP MAXES ON LOW SIDE OF MOS RANGE EXCEPT IN THE
WEST WHERE CLOUDS WILL DIMINISH EARLIER. 

EARLY NEXT WEEK... OPERATIONAL GFS HAS GONE BACK TO A WARMER
SOLUTION DESPITE STILL SHOWING SURFACE RIDGE POKING INTO THE AREA
FROM BIG HIGH IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS/CANADIAN PRAIRIES. BELIEVE
THAT A COLD SOLUTION /AS ADVERTISED BY THE ECMWF AND HPC/ MAKES
MORE SENSE AND WILL KEEP THE CURRENT COLD FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  32  50  38  60 /   0  10  10  10 
HOBART OK         31  58  35  62 /   0  10   0   0 
WICHITA FALLS TX  38  60  40  72 /  10  10   0  10 
GAGE OK           23  53  27  59 /   0   0   0   0 
PONCA CITY OK     27  44  34  56 /   0  10  10  10 
DURANT OK         35  48  43  69 /  30  40  10  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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