FXUS64 KMOB 250435
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1035 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
.MESOSCALE UPDATE...STORMS HAVE CLEARED THE FCST AREA JUST IN THE
"NICK" OF TIME FOR OL' SANTA TO MAKE HIS ROUNDS.
ALL SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED
AND/OR CANCELLED AS THE LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAS NOW MOVED
EAST OF THE FCST AREA. WE HAVE JUST FINISHED COMPOSING AND
TRANSMITTING A NEW SET OF ZONE AND MARINE FCSTS...AND ALSO SENT OUT
UPGRADED GRIDS AS WELL. THE WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE...BUT WE DECIDED TO MAINTAIN THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY AND
THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY PRODUCT THROUGH 10Z FRIDAY...AS TIDES ARE
STILL RUNNING AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND HIGH SURF
CONTINUES.
THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA...AND
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY SUNRISE CHRISTMAS MORNING. SATELLITE
INDICATES THAT SKIES MAY NOT CLEAR AS QUICKLY AS EARLIER ANTICIPATED
ON CHRISTMAS DAY AS LOW LEVEL CLOUDS REMAIN TO OUR WEST IN THE AXIS
OF THE 850 TROF...AND MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS TROF AXIS WILL NOT
MOVE EAST OF THE FCST AREA UNTIL AROUND 18Z FRIDAY. AFTER THAT
TIME...EXPECT SKIES TO BEGIN CLEARING. STILL EXPECTING COOLER TEMPS
ON CHRISTMAS DAY...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S AND
LOWS CHRISTMAS NIGHT MUCH COLDER...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.
.MARINE...ALLOWED THE GALE WARNINGS TO EXPIRE...BUT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE AREA THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY
MORNING.
.AVIATION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...
BRINGING AN END TO SHRA/TSRA ACROSS THE AREA. WILL LIKELY SEE AT
LEAST SOME BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IN THE BASE OF THE 850 TROF THAT WILL BE
LAGGING BEHIND THE SFC FRONT THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...WITH OCNL MVFR
CIGS...BUT GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
12/DS
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 41 52 29 54 / 20 05 00 00
PENSACOLA 46 52 33 54 / 80 05 00 00
DESTIN 52 54 36 53 / 90 05 00 00
EVERGREEN 43 51 28 54 / 90 05 00 00
WAYNESBORO 35 48 24 53 / 20 05 00 00
CAMDEN 40 48 26 53 / 80 05 00 00
CRESTVIEW 47 56 30 54 / 90 05 00 00
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.
FL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL
SANTA ROSA.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL SANTA
ROSA.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
$$
