FXUS64 KTSA 252022
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
222 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY QUIET FORECAST IN THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY BLIZZARD. SUNNY
SKIES ATOP TO AREA TODAY...ALTHOUGH CONTINUED BREEZY CONDITIONS
KEEPING BLOWING SNOW A MINOR CONCERN ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. VISIBILITIES ARE NOT LOW BY ANY STRETCH OF THE
IMAGINATION HOWEVER. TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALMOST ALL
OF THE AREA...AND SHOULD REMAIN THAT WAY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
VORT LOBE WILL ROTATE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF MAIN UPPER LOW IN
IOWA...SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
LATER TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN LOW AND MID
CLOUD COVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...IN ADDITION
TO A CHANCE OF SOME FLURRIES MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 412
TOMORROW. CONTINUED NORTHERLY UPPER FLOW AND THE INFLUENCE OF THE
SNOW COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MAV AND MET TEMPERATURES LOOKED TOO HIGH GIVEN THE
ABOVE REASONING /DESPITE THE WARMING INFLUENCE OF INCREASED CLOUD
COVER/ SO THE GENERAL TREND IS TO UNDERCUT THE GUIDANCE VALUES BY
SEVERAL DEGREES...ESPECIALLY ATOP THE SNOWPACK.
SOMEWHAT OF A WARMUP WILL COMMENCE FOR EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK
SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW RETURNS IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER UPPER
SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL REMAIN COOL...BUT THE AREA SHOULD
WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING LEVELS.
PRECIP ENTERS THE FORECAST AGAIN FOR TUESDAY...WITH WINTRY
PRECIPITATION /LIKELY SNOW/ AGAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT
COME CLOSE TO THE PUNCH OF THIS LAST ONE HOWEVER.
SURFACE HIGH WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...BRINGING COLD TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 16 31 16 32 / 0 10 0 0
FSM 17 35 22 37 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 17 35 19 37 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 13 29 12 30 / 10 10 10 10
FYV 17 30 18 31 / 0 10 0 10
BYV 17 28 19 29 / 0 10 0 10
MKO 17 32 17 32 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 15 27 13 27 / 10 10 10 10
F10 18 32 17 33 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 21 43 23 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....22
