FXUS63 KGLD 290506
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1006 PM MST SAT NOV 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
102 PM MST SAT NOV 28 2009

FOR THIS ISSUANCE CHANGES WERE MADE TO TONIGHT IN REMOVING THE SN
ACROSS MY CO ZONES. THE LARGEST AGEO CIRC ASSOC WITH THE MID-LVL
FRONTAL ZONE MOVING OVER THE CWA IS RATHER WEAK COUPLED WITH
MEAGER FRONTO-G...PER FN VECTOR DIV. FURTHERMORE... MID-LVL ISENTROPIC
DONWGLIDE EXISTS COUPLED WITH LITTLE MOISTURE ADVECTION IN THE
DENDRITE GROWTH ZONE.

OTHERWISE THE UPCOMING SEVEN DAYS APPEAR DRY AS THE AREA RESIDES
WELL NORTH OF AN INCOMING TROF/LOW WHICH SLOWLY TRAVERSES ACROSS NRN
MEXICO AND THE FAR SRN PLAINS THROUGH EARLY WED. PER THE VARIOUS
ENSEMBLE SUITES...THAT LOW BEGINS TO SKIRT EAST ON WED AS A NRN
STREAM TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NRN TIER STATES WHICH WILL ADVECT A
COLDER AIR MASS IN HERE WED THROUGH THE REST OF THE PACKAGE. ATTM
DPROG/DT OF THE ENSEMBLE DATA INCREASINGLY DEPICT A DRY FROPA ON WED.
AS SUCH I REMOVED ALL POPS TIED TO THAT EVENT. BEYOND WED WE
RESIDE UNDER A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH PLACING THE CWA IN A DRY
PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEKEND. JUST BEYOND DAY SEVEN THERE IS SOME
INDICATION OF A SRN STREAM SYSTEM TRAVERSING THE PERIPHERY OF THE
LONG WAVE TROUGH WHICH MAY BE SOMETHING TO WATCH AS WE MOVE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

05
&&

.AVIATION...
1005 PM MST SAT NOV 28 2009

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR VALID PERIOD. 
POTENTIAL DOES EXIST FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS AT EITHER OR 
BOTH TERMINALS ROUGHLY BETWEEN 06Z-12Z...CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH 
TO INCLUDE IN TAF, SO WILL INCLUDE A SCT025 TO INDICATE POTENTIAL. 
ANY MVFR CIGS THAT DO MATERIALIZE SHOULD BE RELATIVELY BRIEF IN 
DURATION AND IMPACTS TO AVIATION SHOULD BE MINIMAL. OTHERWISE, WINDS 
WILL CONTINUE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AND WILL BE A BIT BREEZY 
FIRST THING IN THE MORNING BUT SPEEDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE DAY 
PROGRESSES.

50
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

$$