FXUS62 KTAE 151401
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
901 AM EST TUE DEC 15 2009

./UPDATE...AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING HAS JUST BEEN RE-ISSUED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AS ANOTHER
AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ACROSS THIS AREA
RANGED FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 6 TO 6.5 INCHES
IN COFFEE AND DALE COUNTIES (SOUTHEAST ALABAMA). THE LATEST
SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATIONS SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHWEST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS
FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE. MODELS INDICATE THIS BOUNDARY BEGINNING TO
MOVE INTO OUR ALABAMA AND GEORGIA COUNTIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WHICH WILL BRING THE RAIN CHANCES TO
AN END DURING THIS TIME. UNFORTUNATELY...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND PANHANDLE
COUNTIES. WILL ONLY MAKE SOME MINOR TWEAKS IN THE GRIDS THIS
MORNING BASED ON THE LATEST TRENDS.

&

.AVIATION...LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST 
AREA REST OF THIS MORNING WITH VARIABLE CIGS/VSBYS FROM LIFR TO VFR. 
THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST ACROSS ERN 
LOUISIANA/WRN MS ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LOW 
CIGS/VSBYS/RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD 
IMPROVE BY LATE MORNING WITH SUFFICIENT DAYTIME HEATING. A 
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA MAY BRIEFLY DROP VSBYS TO MVFR/IFR 
CONDITIONS. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...EXPECT VFR/MVFR 
CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY WHEN ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH 
FROM THE WEST.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: 
     COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: 
     BAKER...BEN HILL...CALHOUN...CLAY...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...
     IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...
     TERRELL...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...GIBBS
AVIATION...BLOCK