FXUS64 KLZK 021151
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
551 AM CST WED DEC 2 2009
.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY AS A SURFACE LOW
MOVES NORTHEAST OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. SEVERAL WAVES OF RAIN
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY...THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TONIGHT. THE RAIN
SHOULD END THIS EVENING.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 AM CST WED DEC 2 2009/
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
LEADING EDGE OF RAIN SHIELD CONTS WORKING NWD ACRS CNTRL AR ATTM.
MEANWHILE...UPR LOW WAS MOVG INTO NERN TX AND WL CONT TO HEAD MORE
NEWD TOWARD THE FA LATER THIS MRNG.
RAIN WL SPREAD FURTHER NWD THIS MRNG AS LIFT INCR/S AHEAD OF THE UPR
SYSTEM. THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THIS MRNG TAKING THE UPR
LOW ACRS SERN AR TODAY. ASSOCD SFC LOW WL LIFT OUT OF THE NRN GULF
AS PASS E OF THE FA. NELY WIND FLOW THIS MRNG WL GRADUALLY TURN MORE
NWLY LATER TODAY AS SFC LOW PULLS AWAY FM THE REGION...ADDING QUITE
A CHILL TO THE AIR.
MAIN FCST CONCERN CONTS TO BE THE AFFECTS OF COLDER AIR MOVING INTO
THE AREA FM THE W LATER TODAY BEHIND THE STORM SYS. NOT EXPECTING
MUCH RECOVERY WITH TEMPS TODAY WITH ABUNDANT CLOUDS AND WIDESPREAD
RAIN. READINGS WL LIKELY LVL OFF AND SLOLY FALL OVR WRN AR LATER
TODAY AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER IN FM THE W. PRECIP IS FCST TO
QUICKLY END FM THE W LATE TODAY/EARLY THIS EVENING AS STORM SYS
ACCELERATES NEWD. COULD STILL BE A BRIEF WINDOW WHERE SOME SNOW
COULD MIX WITH THE RAIN OVR NRN AR BEFORE ENDING...ESP OVR SOME OF
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...STILL NOT EXPECTING ANY
ACCUMULATION.
COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WL SETTLE INTO THE FA TNGT AND THU. A
REINFORCING SHOT OF EVEN COLDER AIR WL MOVE INTO THE MID SOUTH THU
NGT AND FRI. AN UPR LVL TROF/JET MAX WL LIFT NEWD OUT OF TX AND PASS
SE OF AR LATE FRI AND FRI NGT. EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCRS OVR MAINLY
SERN AR WITH A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE. MORE SIG MOISTURE/MAIN LIFT IS
PROGGED TO RMN SE OF THE FA...SO WL NOT INCLUDE ANY PRECIP IN THE
FCST ATTM.
LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS TO BEGIN THE PERIOD AS AN
UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHWEST U.S. THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL
MONDAY AND THE LOW BEGINS DIGGING INTO THE ROCKIES LATE MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNS TO ARKANSAS TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE LOW WITH AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE AS WELL.
A COLD FRONT WILL BE IN THE PLAINS SUNDAY...SLOWLY MOVING EAST...AND
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER OHIO VALLEY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES. WILL BRING SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES INTO THE STATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE NORTH WILL HAVE A BREAK FROM THE RAIN MONDAY BUT
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS. AS A
SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES TUESDAY...MOISTURE
BECOMES ABUNDANT ACROSS ARKANSAS AND WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 44 31 43 26 / 90 20 10 10
CAMDEN AR 46 33 48 30 / 90 10 10 10
HARRISON AR 39 27 39 22 / 80 10 10 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 45 32 46 28 / 90 10 10 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 45 34 46 28 / 100 10 10 10
MONTICELLO AR 46 34 49 31 / 90 10 10 10
MOUNT IDA AR 44 30 46 27 / 90 10 10 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 40 29 40 22 / 80 10 10 10
NEWPORT AR 44 32 45 27 / 100 20 10 10
PINE BLUFF AR 45 34 47 30 / 90 10 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 45 29 44 25 / 90 10 10 10
SEARCY AR 45 31 45 27 / 100 20 10 10
STUTTGART AR 45 34 45 29 / 100 10 10 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...51
