FXUS62 KFFC 292352 AAA
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
652 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009
.UPDATE...
LIGHT SHOWERS OVERSPREADING NORTHWEST GEORGIA A BIT FASTER THAN
INDICATED IN THE FORECAST. THUS...UPDATING TO INCREASE POPS TO
LIKELY CATEGORY THIS EVENING OVER FAR NORTH GEORGIA BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD LATE TONIGHT.
07
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
COLD FRONT FORECAST TO FAR NW GA LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA MONDAY. SHOWERS EXPECTED FOR N GA LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY AND
LESS SO FOR CENTRAL GA. ANY REMAINING LIGHT PRECIP OVER CENTRAL GA
MONDAY EVENING WILL END QUICKLY. THERE IS LITTLE TO NO INSTABILITY
FORECAST WITH THE INCOMING FRONT. SKIES CLEAR MONDAY NIGHT
CONTINUING FOR PART OF TUESDAY. GFS/NAM DIFFER GREATLY ON TIMING OF
THE NEXT PRECIP EVENT WITH THE GFS FASTER BRINGING RAIN BACK TO MUCH
OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH THAT TIMING WHICH IS
WHAT IS CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST.
LOW TEMPERATURES 7-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AND SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL MONDAY AND NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY.
OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE.
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
RAIN EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE GFS/NAM CONTINUING TO GREATLY
DIFFER ON THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE LOW AT DAYS END WITH THE GFS
ALSO DEEPER. A PERIOD OF WINDY CONDITIONS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. RAIN
LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY OVER FOR THURSDAY WITH MAYBE SOME LINGERING
PRECIP IN THE NE MOUNTAINS. CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE DRY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. GFS AND EUROPEAN DIFFERING WITH PRECIP CHANCES FOR SUNDAY.
EUROPEAN IS DRY AND GFS HAS MOISTURE RETURNING WITH SMALL POPS
ASSOCIATED. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL THIS
PERIOD.
BDL
&&
.AVIATION...
MOSTLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA AT THE MOMENT BUT
WILL SEE LOW CLOUDS SLOWLY MOVE IN FROM THE WEST WITH NEXT SYSTEM
MOVING THROUGH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CONDITIONS SHOULD STAY VFR
FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT WITH MVFR CONDITIONS MOVING IN JUST BEFORE
DAYBREAK. RAIN SHOULD START MOVING INTO THE ATL AREA BETWEEN 10-14Z
AND CONTINUING OFF AND ON THROUGH 20-00Z. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
SW OVER NIGHT THEN TURNING TO THE NW 18-22Z ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD STAY IN THE 5-10 KT RANGE UNTIL THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THEN WE SHOULD SEE WINDS IN THE 7-14KT RANGE
BRIEFLY
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 49 62 36 62 41 / 10 70 10 5 70
ATLANTA 50 58 37 60 45 / 20 80 10 5 80
BLAIRSVILLE 45 52 33 56 37 / 50 90 0 5 50
CARTERSVILLE 46 55 33 59 41 / 40 90 5 5 70
COLUMBUS 49 64 39 63 49 / 10 60 10 10 80
GAINESVILLE 50 57 36 60 43 / 20 80 5 5 60
MACON 46 67 37 64 46 / 5 40 10 10 80
ROME 48 55 33 60 40 / 50 90 0 5 60
PEACHTREE CITY 47 61 32 60 40 / 10 80 10 5 80
VIDALIA 47 71 41 64 50 / 5 30 20 10 70
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
