FXUS64 KSHV 120350
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
950 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009
.DISCUSSION...
RAIN NOT YET INTO THE CWA THIS EVENING...AS DRY ATMOSPHERE STILL
HAS A WAY TO GO TO BECOME SATURATED. WILL TRIM POPS BACK...ESPECIALLY
NORTH...WHERE SKIES ARE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. THE LACK OF CLOUDS
IN THIS AREA HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO FALL BELOW FORECAST LOWS IN A
FEW LOCATIONS...SO WILL ADJUST TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE DEGREES.
TRICKY CALL WITH TEMPS AND PRECIP TYPE...AS READINGS IN AREAS
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 30 WILL BE FLIRTING WITH BELOW FREEZING
NUMBERS...DUE TO THE LOW DEWPOINTS AND RESULTING WEB BULB EFFECTS.
AT THIS TIME...BANKING ON CLOUDS RETURNING...HOLDING NUMBERS IN
MID 30S OR MAYBE INCREASING READINGS A FEW DEGREES. STILLS BEARS
WATCHING..BUT IF NEW NAM CORRECT...RAIN MAY NOT OCCUR BEFORE DAYBREAK.
NO CHANGES TO SATURDAY POPS WITH CONDITIONAL POPS MOST OF CWA.
&&
.AVIATION...
DEVELOPING LOW OFF SE TX COAST...SLOWLY EDGING MSTR NORTHWARD INTO
CWA. VFR CIGS BECMG MVFR EAST TX SITES...WITH TRENDS LOWERING TO
IFR/PSBL VLIFR CIGS BY 15-18Z SAT WITH RAIN INCREASING. EAST WINDS
OF 5 TO 10 KTS WILL CONTINUE WITH PROXIMITY TO LOW PRESSURE CENTER.
PCPN ENDING WEST TO EAST 21-24Z...WET GROUND AND LIGHT WINDS...DENSE
FOG EXPECTED BY AROUND 03Z SUNDAY./VII/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 38 43 43 70 54 / 70 100 30 10 10
MLU 37 42 42 68 53 / 70 100 60 10 10
DEQ 33 42 38 67 43 / 40 80 10 10 10
TXK 34 42 39 67 53 / 60 90 30 10 10
ELD 35 40 40 67 50 / 60 100 50 10 10
TYR 40 46 44 71 54 / 90 80 20 10 10
GGG 39 45 43 73 53 / 80 90 30 10 10
LFK 42 49 44 74 53 / 90 90 30 10 10
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
14/07