FXUS65 KREV 080033
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
435 PM PST MON DEC 7 2009
.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY COLD
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DIGGING OVER CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS PRODUCED UP TO 3 FEET OF SNOW OVER THE
SIERRA CREST DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW
EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST FOR MOST OF THE DAY. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
DEFORMATION BAND IS FINALLY BEGINNING TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OF
RENO THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS BEHIND
THE BAND. THEREFORE...HAVE CANCELLED MOST OF THE WINTER STORM
WARNINGS WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
PRECIPITATION BAND CONTINUES TO LINGER OVER MONO...MINERAL...AND
SOUTHERN LYON COUNTIES...AND WILL KEEP THE WINTER STORM WARNING
GOING FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH ABOUT 7 PM THIS EVENING. THE OTHER
MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT WILL BE WITH THE VERY COLD OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES. AT THIS POINT IN TIME...BELIEVE SKIES WILL CLEAR LATE
TONIGHT...AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
VERY EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH THE SNOW ON THE GROUND.
EVEN THE RENO AREA WILL SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR ZERO TONIGHT.
DRIER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO BE AN
ISSUE. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL MOST LIKELY
TRANSITION TO A WETTER PATTERN LATE IN THE WEEK AND THIS
WEEKEND...AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST. AT THIS
POINT IN TIME...THE FIRST OF WHICH WILL MOST LIKELY MOVE INTO THE
REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...BRINGING MORE SNOW TO THE
WARNING AREA. MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO HAVE SOME ISSUES WITH THESE
SYSTEM...WITH TEMPERATURES...STRENGTH...AND MOISTURE CONTENT. THE
STRONGEST OF WHICH...STILL LOOKS LIKE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE THIS WEEKEND...BUT
MAY STILL BE LOW ENOUGH FOR A RAIN SNOW MIX. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP
A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW GOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK. PALMER
&&
.AVIATION...A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WAS ORIENTED FROM THE SW
TO NE ACROSS THE CENTER OF NEVADA AT 00Z TUE. THE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE GRADUALLY TRANSLATING EASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HRS WITH
DRY NW FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE. LIFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBYS
ARE MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE AXIS WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO THE
WEST.
FOR KRNO...CIGS GENLY VFR WITH RISK MVFR/IFR IN CIGS AND VSBY IN
SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH ABOUT 04Z...WITH GENLY VFR AFT 04Z.
KLOL...GENLY VFR THROUGH 18Z. SLIGHT RISK OF ISOLD LIFR/IFR CIG AND
VSBY DUE TO SHSN THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. DK2
&&
.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR NVZ001.
CA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ073.
&&
$$
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO