FXUS64 KOUN 260403
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1003 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009
.UPDATE...
STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HEAVY SNOW TO AREA...IS IMPACTING LARGE
AREA OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT. "VORT LOBE"
OVER NEBRASKA WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL
BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ACROSS AT LEAST NORTHERN OK WITH
A POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS...FLURRIES SATURDAY. GRADIENT
WILL HELP KEEP WINDS HIGHER ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF AREA TONIGHT
SO HAVE TWEAK TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES...AND LOWERED TEMPS ACROSS SW
1/4.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009/
AVIATION...
LIGHT TO MODERATE W-NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. HOWEVER... SCATTERED TO
BROKEN CLOUDS AROUND 6K FEET... AND A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY BRUSH
ACROSS FAR NORTH CENTRAL OK.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2009/
DISCUSSION...
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE THAN
THE CHRISTMAS EVE BLIZZARD YESTERDAY. A SHORTWAVE MOVING SOUTH
AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE PRIMARY UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO
BRUSH THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA TOMORROW AND ASSOCIATED MID-
LEVEL LIFT MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A FEW FLURRIES IN THE
NORTH. MODEL QPF IS VERY LOW OR NIL BUT WILL INCLUDE MENTION OF
FLURRIES. SOME COOLER LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL ALSO FILTER INTO THE AREA
AS WELL AND WILL HAVE ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF GUSTY WINDS /ALTHOUGH
IT WILL NOT SEEM TOO GUSTY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY/ TEMPERATURES
HAVE BEEN ABLE TO RECOVER BETTER THAN EXPECTED TODAY CONSIDERING
THE SNOW COVER... SO ALTHOUGH STILL GOING GENERALLY BELOW GUIDANCE
FOR MAXES TOMORROW... WILL RAISE TEMPERATURES A LITTLE FROM
CURRENT FORECAST. FORECAST MINS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WILL
BE BELOW GUIDENCE THANKS TO THE THE FRESH SNOW PACK.
THE NEXT STORM APPROACHES TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AS AN OPEN WAVE.
HAVE INCREASED POPS IN RESPONSE TO THE CURRENT MODEL RUNS.
OTHERWISE... NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 18 34 18 38 / 0 0 10 0
HOBART OK 17 37 20 40 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 16 40 22 43 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 17 37 14 40 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 16 31 16 33 / 10 10 10 0
DURANT OK 22 43 24 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
